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Whats New at the Canadian International Trade Tribunal? A Strategy for Injury Determination.

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Presentation on theme: "Whats New at the Canadian International Trade Tribunal? A Strategy for Injury Determination."— Presentation transcript:

1 Whats New at the Canadian International Trade Tribunal? A Strategy for Injury Determination

2 2 Outline What is the CITT? WTO & Canadian frameworks for injury determination Past CITT strategies Current CITT strategy Whats next?

3 3 Canada has a long history with trade remedies Worlds first anti-dumping legislation in 1904

4 4 What is the CITT? Created January 1, 1989 An independent, quasi-judicial, decision-making body Canada has a bifurcated system CITT does injury investigations CITT also does safeguards, general economic studies, procurement and appeals 7 Members, 100 staff

5 5 WTO Framework Anti-dumping Agreement 3.1 – objective examination of volumes, effect on prices, impact on domestic producers 3.2 – significant increase in volumes? – significant price undercutting? 3.5 – dumped imports are causing injury through the effects of dumping – non-attribution

6 6 Canadian Framework Special Import Measures Act (SIMA) CITT to inquire as to whether the dumping of the subject goods has caused injury Injury = material injury to the domestic industry

7 7 SIMA Regulations CITT must consider 3 factors 1.Volume of dumped goods Significant increase? 2.Effects on Prices Significant undercutting, depressing, suppression? 3.Impact on the domestic industry Actual/potential decline in output, sales, market share, profits, productivity, ROI or the utilization of capacity

8 8 SIMA Regulations (cont) CITT must determine whether a causal relationship exists between the dumping … of the goods and the injury (Causation) whether any factors other than the dumping … of the goods has caused injury (Non-attribution)

9 9 The challenge for authorities Attribution of injury Dumping is almost never the only factor

10 10 Two Schools of Thought Total Effects Overall extent of injury caused by all factors is material There is a causal link between the dumping and the material injury. Dumping Effects Injury caused directly by the dumping is severe enough on its own to material Dumping does not have to be the most important, major or principal cause of the total material injury

11 11 CITT Strategies Reasons for Decision 1989-91 Mostly total effects Injury First 1992-99 Total effects Dumping In and Of Itself 2000-2003 Dumping effects Sequential Analysis 2003 to Present Dumping effects

12 12 Reasons for Decision Strategy No fixed structure Narrative Materiality, causation,other factors together Often assessed total injury first

13 13 Injury First Strategy 1 st question – did the industry experience material injury? 2 nd question – was there a causal link with the dumping? Material injury had 2 meanings: total injury and injury from dumping

14 14 Dumping In and Of Itself Strategy Statistical summary – no conclusion on material injury Relate observed trends to dumping Determine if negative effects of dumping are material on their own Presentation varied case to case

15 15 Sequential Analysis Strategy Mirrors SIMA Assess 3 injury factors Volume Effects on prices Impact on domestic industry Causation conclusion Did the dumping cause material injury? Non-attribution Role of other factors?

16 16 Volume of Dumped Goods Significant increase? Displace domestic production? Gain market share? Outcomes: Laminate Flooring NQ-2004-006 Increase in dumped goods Negative volume impacts Certain Steel Fuel Tanks NQ-2004-002 Increase in dumped goods Few negative volume impacts Unprocessed Grain Corn NQ-2005-001 No increase in dumped goods

17 17 Effects on Prices Significant price undercutting, suppression, depression? Outcomes: Certain Stainless Steel Wire NQ-2004-001 Dumped prices fall Domestic prices increase Price suppression Certain Fasteners (Carbon Steel Screws) NQ-2004-005 Dumped prices fall Domestic prices flat Price erosion Certain Fasteners (Carbon Steel Nuts and Bolts) NQ-2004-005 Dumped prices rise Domestic prices fall No negative impact

18 18 Impact, Causation and Other Factors Trends in domestic industry? Impact of dumped goods? Causation Did the dumping cause material injury? Other factors

19 19 Impact, Causation and Other Factors (cont) Positive Injury Determinations: Certain Stainless Steel Wire NQ-2004-001 Negative outcomes for domestic industry Dumping caused material injury Other factors also had impact Laminate Flooring NQ-2004-006 Negative outcomes for domestic industry Injury is material Causal link The material injury caused by the dumping is material Other factors also had impact

20 20 Impact, Causation and Other Factors (cont) Negative Injury Determinations Certain Steel Fuel Tanks NQ-2004-002 Negative outcomes for the domestic industry Dumping did not cause material injury Injury attributable to other factors Certain Fasteners (Carbon Steel Nuts and Bolts) NQ-2004-005 Negative outcomes for the domestic industry Injury is material Injury cant be attributed to dumped goods Other factors

21 21 Lessons Learned:Sequential analysis Explicitly incorporates the key components of Canada trade remedies legislation Provides framework for investigative work throughout case Consistent format for decisions Eventually! See Unprocessed Grain Corn NQ-2005-001

22 22 What is Next at the CITT? No new strategies? Unlikely!


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