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1 PRTC Bus Service Strategic Plan Public Hearing Presentation September 2004.

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Presentation on theme: "1 PRTC Bus Service Strategic Plan Public Hearing Presentation September 2004."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 PRTC Bus Service Strategic Plan Public Hearing Presentation September 2004

2 2 Presentation Outline Strategic plan background Factors shaping transit service needs Analysis and evaluation approach Candidate new / expanded services examined Recommended services Related bus purchase and maintenance / storage facility investment requirements Other forms of service delivery Next steps

3 3 Strategic Plan Background Publicly supported bus services in area shaped by multi-year strategic plan Last such plan developed by PRTC several years ago, and now nearing end of its useful life PRTCs governing board wants new (updated) plan produced in FY 2005, timed to dovetail with FY 2006 budget process

4 4 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Population / employment growth in area Deteriorating traffic conditions Growing public dissatisfaction with transportation conditions in the area PRTC survey – citizens perceptions of unmet transit needs Assessment of existing transit services – strengths and weaknesses

5 5 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Population growth in Prince William County, Manassas and Manassas Park – 1990 to , , , , , , , , Year Population

6 6 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Projected population and employment in Prince William County – 2005 to , , , , , , , , , , Year Population Employment

7 7 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Deteriorating traffic conditions – Measure Change Since 1990 Demand –VMT (NOVA counties only) 49% increase Supply –Lane miles added (NOVA counties only) 9% increase Demand vs. Supply (Congestion) –VMT per lane mile (NOVA counties only) 37% increase

8 8 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Growing citizen dissatisfaction with transportation in the area Around CountySatisfied? % % % % % Around NOVASatisfied? % %

9 9 Factors Shaping Transit Needs (PRTC Survey – OmniRide) More frequent service on existing routes Off-peak service on existing routes Weekend Metro Direct service (connecting to Metrorail) New service –To Dulles area –To Tysons Corner –To Rosslyn –To Fort Belvoir –From Haymarket / Gainesville

10 10 Factors Shaping Transit Needs ( PRTC Survey – OmniLink) Weekend service New service –Innovation –Montclair –Haymarket / Gainesville More frequent service on existing routes

11 11 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Assessment of existing service –Evaluated relative to multiple measures of service quality (defined by the Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual -- transit industry guide for such evaluations) –OmniRide and OmniLink separately evaluated to account for inherent differences Measures –Hours of service –Coverage –Frequency –Passenger seating capacity (loading) –On-time performance –Trips not served –Travel time (relative to auto)

12 12 Factors Shaping Transit Needs – Existing Service Weaknesses OmniRide –Lack of off-peak service –Absence of service in some areas Haymarket (on residential end) Rosslyn, Tysons Corner, Route 28 / Dulles, and Fort Belvoir (on destination end) –Absence of weekend service OmniLink –Deficient service frequency on existing routes –Absence of service in some areas Montclair, Haymarket / Gainesville (on the residential end) Innovation and Fort Belvoir (on destination end) –Absence of weekend service

13 13 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Assessment of existing services – area peer comparisons from service per capita perspective

14 14 Factors Shaping Transit Needs Assessment of existing services – area peer comparisons from investment per capita perspective

15 15 Candidate Services Examined New OmniRide routes Expanded service on existing OmniRide routes New OmniLink routes Expanded service on existing OmniLink routes

16 16 Candidate Services Examined – New OmniRide Routes Rosslyn Haymarket Tysons Corner (from east and west) Fort Belvoir Route 28 / Dulles Brentsville

17 17 Candidate Services Examined – Expanded Service on Existing OmniRide Routes More peak period Route One corridor service Mid-day service Later evening service Later morning service Saturday Metro Direct (from east and west) Increased frequency and Saturday service on Cross-county route

18 18 Candidate Services Examined – New OmniLink Routes Route One supplemental service Montclair-related Haymarket / Gainesville-related Innovation Route One Fort Belvoir extension

19 19 Candidate Services Examined – Expanded Service on Existing OmniLink Routes Route One corridor Increased frequency on easterly OmniLink routes Increased frequency on westerly OmniLink routes Saturday service on westerly OmniLink routes Sunday service on both easterly and westerly OmniLink routes

20 20 Candidate Services Examined – Evaluation Factors Customer requests / interest expressed via survey Daily ridership expectations Gross subsidy requirement Gross subsidy per trip Additional bus requirements Supportiveness of local jurisdictional goals / objectives

21 21 Recommended Services -- Introduction Two groupings –Those recommended for implementation within next five years (by 2010) –Those seen as desirable later than 2010 Later than 2010 group not recommended sooner because –Road improvements have to be completed first to make the services productive and/or –Markets need more time to develop

22 22 Recommended Services - OmniRide OmniRide Service Recommendations ServiceHoursRecommended Startup Supplemental Route One Service5 AM to 9 AM 3 PM to 7 PMFY06 More Mid Day OmniRide11 AM to 2 PMFY06 Increased Frequency Cross County7 AM to 7 PMFY07 Later Evening OmniRide7 PM to 9 PMFY07 Rosslyn OmniRide 5 AM to 9 AM 3 PM to 7 PMFY07 Saturday Prince William Metro Direct7:30 AM to 11 PMFY08 Saturday Cross County8 AM to 10 PMFY09 Haymarket OmniRide5 AM to 9 AM 3 PM to 7 PMFY09 Later Morning OmniRide8 AM to 10 AMFY09 Saturday Manassas Metro Direct7:30 AM to 10:30 PMFY10

23 23 Recommended Services - OmniLink OmniLink Service Recommendations ServiceHoursRecommended Startup Rt. 1 Supplemental OmniLink5 AM to 10 PMFY06 Increased Frequency Eastern PW OmniLink6 AM to 9 AM 4 PM to 7 PMFY07 Increased Frequency Western PW OmniLink6 AM to 9 AM 4 PM to 7 PMFY08 Saturday Western PW OmniLink7:30 AM to 10:30 PMFY09 Innovation OmniLink6 AM to 10 PMFY10 Sunday Eastern PW OmniLink8 AM to 7 PMFY10 Rt. 1 / Fort Belvoir Extension6 AM to 10 PMFY10

24 24 Recommended OmniRide Services Within Next Five Years – Key Financials and Other Measures Service Ridership (Daily ) Local Subsidy Bus Requirement TotalPer Trip Supplemental Route One Service78$51,357$2.592 Increased Frequency Cross County86$155,215$7.051 Saturday Cross County129$10,718$1.600 More Mid Day OmniRide61$36,487$2.350 Later Evening OmniRide76$17,702$0.920 Rosslyn OmniRide160$27,415$0.673 Saturday Prince William Metro Direct227$20,384$1.730 Haymarket OmniRide112$150,693$5.303 Later Morning OmniRide169$163,705$3.810 Saturday Manassas Metro Direct119$39,154$6.330

25 25 Recommended OmniLink Services Within Next Five Years – Key Financials and Other Measures Service Ridership (Daily) Local Subsidy Bus Requirement TotalPer Trip Rt. 1 Supplemental OmniLink250$374,274$5.852 Increased Frequency Eastern PW OmniLink502$299,239$2.334 Increased Frequency Western PW OmniLink129$307,736$9.322 Saturday Western PW OmniLink215$74,574$6.660 Innovation OmniLink121$165,176$5.331 Sunday Eastern PW OmniLink418$104,490$4.810 Rt. 1 / Fort Belvoir Extension48$59,229$4.820

26 26 Desirable Services Beyond 2010 ServiceHours Tysons Corner-Eastern Prince William OmniRide5 AM - 9 AM 3 PM - 7 PM Fort Belvoir OmniRide5 AM - 9 AM 3 PM - 7 PM Tysons Corner-Western Prince William OmniRide5 AM - 9 AM 3 PM - 7 PM Route 28/Dulles OmniRide5 AM - 9 AM 3 PM - 7 PM Brentsville OmniRide5 AM - 9 AM 3 PM - 7 PM Montclair OmniLink6 AM to 10 PM Sunday Western Prince William OmniLink8 AM to 7 PM Gainesville/Haymarket OmniLink6 AM to 10 PM

27 27 Bus Purchase Needs Within Next Five Years New/Expanded Services:FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10 OmniLink24201 OmniRide: 40 foot (46 seats)01000 OmniRide: 45 foot (57 seats)23030 Ambient Growth on Existing Services: OmniRide: 45 foot (57 seats)22222 Spares to Maintain Adequate Spare Margin: OmniLink10000 Replacements Total Additional Buses: OmniLink34201 OmniRide: 40 foot (46 seats)01000 OmniRide: 45 foot (57 seats)49252 Total Additional Buses714453

28 28 Funding Requirements For Bus Purchases

29 29 Maintenance / Storage Needs Short-term expansion –Enlarge secure storage lot at PRTC Transit Center, encroaching on employee parking lot –Move employee parking lot to existing commuter lot –Construct replacement commuter lot on undeveloped acreage across from Transit Center Longer-term expansion –Westerly maintenance facility

30 30 Maintenance / Storage Needs – Short Term

31 31 Maintenance / Storage Needs – Longer Term Short-term plan yields total storage capacity of 128 buses Fleet grows to 134 buses by 2010 assuming all recommended services are implemented as proposed Indicates need for second maintenance facility Preferred location on western side of PRTC service area to reduce dead-head costs

32 32 Alternative Forms of Service Delivery Potentially Warranting Public Support Forms –Volunteer transportation program –Voucher program Either could be substitute form of service or supplement to improve mobility even further Volunteer program already exists –Run by Prince William Area Interfaith Caregivers (aka Caregivers) –No public funding at present, limiting its effectiveness No voucher program in PRTC service area at present, but many examples in jurisdictions to the north

33 33 Next Steps PRTC compiles reactions to draft plan from citizens and PRTC governing board PRTC finalizes plan for governing boards consideration / adoption as early as October 2004 Plan used to shape proposed budget submissions to PRTC member jurisdictions Member jurisdictions decide which of the recommended services they wish to sponsor (if any) Implementation thereafter in accordance with sponsors decisions Process begins with the FY 2006 budget


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