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HPC – The Next 20 Years Panel at CASC Anniversary Celebration Dr. Gregory Pfister

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Presentation on theme: "HPC – The Next 20 Years Panel at CASC Anniversary Celebration Dr. Gregory Pfister"— Presentation transcript:

1 HPC – The Next 20 Years Panel at CASC Anniversary Celebration Dr. Gregory Pfister

2 Reactions When Telling Others the Topic 6/2/2014Gregory F. Pfister - CASC Anniversary2 Blank stare. Laughter. What an opportunity! You can make totally outrageous statements you will never be held accountable for!

3 ITRS 2008 Roadmap 6/2/2014Gregory F. Pfister - CASC Anniversary3 <10 nm,100s of procs on chip, multi-TB flash chips, etc ITRS = International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors ? Everythings fine!

4 Moores Law Will End, with No Economical Replacement 6/2/2014Gregory F. Pfister - CASC Anniversary4 Computing cheaper, not faster (per proc) Democratization of some HPC Traditional full-function PC will have integrated high-end graphics At least TFLOPS (SP) on your lap (for some value of lap) Cellphone/laptop; or Yotta-cloud/fog/vapor Nothing in between, as far as you can tell Charged not by rack or proc, but by KWH And possibly bandwidth.

5 Parallelism There will be no savior language or architecture. But data will be gigantic embarrassing or trivial parallelism Uninteresting, but practical Parallel for power reduction: Pwr F 2 more procs, constant time lower power 6/2/20145Gregory F. Pfister - CASC Anniversary

6 Here it is, 2009, and I'm typing SQL statements into my telephone. This is not quite the future I'd imagined. Tim Bray, on Twitter (timbray) 6/2/20146Gregory F. Pfister - CASC Anniversary


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