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The Credit Card Industry RYAN BURKARD, GIAMPIERO GIUNTA, AND RUCHI NANDA.

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Presentation on theme: "The Credit Card Industry RYAN BURKARD, GIAMPIERO GIUNTA, AND RUCHI NANDA."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Credit Card Industry RYAN BURKARD, GIAMPIERO GIUNTA, AND RUCHI NANDA

2 Why Credit Cards? Complex industry Well-known advertising campaigns Relevant to everyone

3 A card association earns revenue from a merchant fee and an interchange fee Merchant/ Retailer Merchant/ Retailer Merchant Bank / Processor Merchant Bank / Processor Card Association Issuing Bank Issuing Bank Consumer Issuing bank forwards the original charge to the consumer who pays the balance due ($100) Cardholder Purchase ($100) Submit charge to merchant bank and then on to card association Card association forwards charge to cards issuing bank Issuing bank submits payment back to association minus an interchange fee (% of transaction) ($99) Card network submits payment minus a fee (%) back to merchant bank ($98) Merchant bank gives payment to retailer minus fees ($97.50)

4 Consumer (you) Card associations Merchants (shops) Card issuers (issuing banks) Processors

5 Card Issuer Industry Structure

6 Porters Five Forces An industry framework used to determine attractiveness and competitive intensity of an industry

7 The Credit Card Issuer Market is Highly Concentrated A credit card issuers main activity is to provide a line of credit HHI = 2072 N = 192 players C(4) = 85% Source: Ibisworld

8 The Credit Card Industry has got huge barriers to Entry Barriers to entry High fixed entry cost and minimum capital requirements Many companies have already established brand reputation and loyalty High aggressive behaviors between firms after entry Source: Ibisworld

9 The credit card issuer follows a TOP DOG strategy in order to survive Barriers to entry High fixed entry cost and minimum capital requirements Many companies have already established brand reputation and loyalty High aggressive behaviors between firms after entry Top Dog Fat cat Lean and Hungry Puppy Dog Barriers Ex-Ante Aggressive Behaviors High Low Source: Ibisworld

10 Suppliers and consumers in the industry have medium bargaining power, putting downward pressure on profitability Supplier Bargaining Power Commercial banks Industrial banks Investment banks Credit Unions Consumer Bargaining Power Firms People Medium bargaining power Source: Ibisworld

11 The credit card issuer industry is HIGHLY PROTIABLE due to the upward pressure on profits from these five forces Rivalry BarriersBuyerSubstitutesSupplier Medium Bargaining Power Huge Barriers To Entry Medium Bargaining PowerNo Substitutes High Concentration

12 Card Associations Industry Structure

13 The card association industry is extremely concentrated A credit card association industry plays the role of a middleman; adhering a set of security standards for managing credit card data and reducing credit card fraud HHI = 3894 N = 6 playersC(4) = 98% Source: Ibisworld

14 The credit card association plays the role of a FAT CAT Barriers to entry It is impossible to enter this industry because it benefits from having a standardized set of security rules and any entrant is quickly wiped out Source: Ibisworld

15 The credit card association plays the role of a FAT CAT Barriers to entry It is impossible to enter this industry because it benefits from having a standardized set of security rules and any entrant is quickly wiped out Top DogFat cat Lean and Hungry Puppy Dog Barriers Ex-Ante Aggressive Behaviors High Low Source: Ibisworld

16 Suppliers have low bargaining power and consumers have medium bargaining power, putting insignificant pressure on profitability Supplier Bargaining Power Computer & packaged software wholesaling Consumer Bargaining Power Commercial banks Credit card issuer Public administration Low bargaining power Medium bargaining power Source: Ibisworld

17 The credit card association industry is deemed VERY PROFITABLE based on these forces Rivalry BarriersBuyerSubstitutesSupplier Low Bargaining PowerImpossible to enterMedium Bargaining PowerNo Substitutes High Concentration

18 Together, the credit card industry is very lucrative and, unsurprisingly, was heavily regulated by Credit Card Act of 2009 and Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform -16% in credit card issuing Notification Requirements of 45 days Grace Period on Interest Rate Increases No Fluctuating Fees and Charges Student Cards Require Cosigners Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform Source: Ibisworld, Bloomberg, Seeking Alpha

19 Advertising Strategies and Raw Data Analysis

20 After the financial crisis, there has been a significant decrease in consumer spending and advertising allocation… …resulting in more practical marketing choices ExampleImpact Less consumer spending Less pizzazz, more practical marketing Quick, concise messaging Less consumer confidence Market reward programs for consumers with ideal credit score Increased regulation in industry Market credit cards with lower signing interest rate Shorter agreements Effects of financial crisis realized Source: Bloomberg: Company 10-Ks

21 Total Ad Expenditures of Each Firm American Express and Capital One have remained with high expenditures. MasterCard and Visa have dropped significantly in their ad expenditures We will look further into this.

22 Number of Ads for Each Firm American Express airs the most ads Signaling Cheapest ads Visa and MasterCard spent a lot in 2006, however they aired much fewer ads compared with Am EX Higher profile events? Olympics, Super Bowl Visa and MasterCards ad expenditures and airings declined a lot

23 Empowered consumers expect marketers to support them on demand The average American household has 10 active credit cards, the average American has 4 active credit cards The internet allows consumers to easily compare interest rates, rewards, etc. from the comfort of their home 80% of complaints filed with the Consumer Bureau are tied to credit cards Make it just FOR ME It better be SIMPLE I better think its a GOOD DEAL Source: Consumer Bureau

24 Humor Advertising

25 Iconic Advertising Increase in purchase volume within a year 16% Source: Mastercard 10-K (2002)

26 Card appeal Personal picturesExclusive groupsPhilanthropy

27 Sponsorship

28 Social Media/Mobile Advertising One in four cardholders has become a fan, friend or follower of their credit card brand or issuer One in four cardholders has become a fan, friend or follower of their credit card brand or issuer Source: Synergistics Research Corp.

29 Low price point High price point Narrow customer base Broad customer base Large transactions > fewer customers > better customer service Many small transactions > connection with banks (no vertical integration)

30 Capital One Capital One treats credit cards as information, data drives its business strategy Makes key acquisitions in the information technology market: Bundle Performs about 30, 000 credit card experiments a year Uses every client interaction, including ads, as an opportunity to cross-sell Its advertising strategy is a paradox, but not really Source: Bloomberg News

31 What types of Programs does Capital One Advertise On? Sports heavy, especially College sports March Madness Capital One Bowl Capital One has a low price point target the college aged person Drama and Adventure TV series

32 American Express, For American Express, being a customer is not just a transactional mechanism, but a lifestyle choice Caters to the lifestyle of the customer with the ideal credit score of 760 Entices with exclusive memberships, and shared reputation i.e. gold and black cards Its advertising strategy is purely complementar y Source: American Express

33 Where does American Express Advertise? Mostly on Drama/Adventure TV series Major network TV shows to reach a large number of people. Reinforces signaling advertising strategy

34 Monthly Advertising of American Express Strong correlation between years Heavier advertising towards the later part of the year Holiday season: remind shoppers to use their American Express cards to buy the gifts!

35 MasterCardVisa MasterCard and Visa attract the largest audience by being very involved in all American events and using memorable advertising strategies

36 Where does MasterCard Advertise? Obviously major cuts in ad spending across the board, except for golf Why did MasterCard cut spending? Went public in 2006, possibly advertised very heavily to gain investors interest initially Now taking a similar path to Discover less advertising Increased profits with similar revenues. The stock has performed very well MasterCard Advertising Program Distribution

37 MasterCard Monthly Advertising Distribution Drastic changes in overall advertising efforts across all months Minimal ads in 2010 compared to 2006 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard in March Overall, not much of a trend in month-to-month spending

38 Where does Visa Advertise? Very heavy focus in sports NFL Olympics Slow decline in all other program types Why such a drop in Spending from 06 to 10? MasterCard is their main competitor, maybe they dont need to advertise as much because MasterCard is not. Prisoners Dilemma

39 Visas Olympic Ad Campaign Drop in ad expenditures while consist number of ads Lower cost for each ad Still a strong effort in 2010 despite less spending Less Olympic ad spending contributes to the overall spending reduction of Visa

40 Visas Monthly Advertising Distribution Significant overall decline in Ad Expenditures Largest Months: February October through January February expenditures are so much higher because of the Olympic ad campaigns Oct. – Jan. high due to NFL season

41 Investment and Advertising Recommendations

42 NEUTRAL Bottom line improvement has been accounted for in stock prices Clear audience target Extensive expense cuts BUY Robust revenue growth Reasonable debt levels Somewhat weak P/E growth BUY No debt The stock is up 33.4% from last year Strong market cap and high P/E growth NEUTRAL Relative underperformer compared to peers and sector Earnings are increasing quarter-to- quarter Source: Seeking Alpha

43 The credit card industry should advertise new technologies to connect with young consumers on a new level 30% average life in spending in 12 month period post contactless adoption Focus on enabling the merchants: 42% of smart phone users use comparison shopping 59% of unbanked consumers have access to a mobile phone Source: Wired.com

44 Questions?


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