Presentation on theme: "Prepared for the Perfect Political Storm: Harry Reid Survives the Wave Nevada Senate Case Study Harry Reid (D) vs. Sharon Angle (R)"— Presentation transcript:
Prepared for the Perfect Political Storm: Harry Reid Survives the Wave Nevada Senate Case Study Harry Reid (D) vs. Sharon Angle (R)
Harry Reid is dead. Now if only the GOP can find someone to entomb him, perhaps he will not do yet again what he has done his entire career, which is miraculously come back to life to horrify state and national Republicans. - Las Vegas Suns Jon Ralston in Jan. 2009
Harry Reid 4-time incumbent, 2-term congressman First elected 1982 Majority Leader, easily won re- election in 2004 (61 to 35 percent) 33 percent Nevada approval rating (Jan. 2010) 8 percent favorability rating nationally (Jan. 2010)
Sharon Angle (R) Reno, Nevada native Tea Party backed conservative Former state assemblywoman Former school board member Failed in run for U.S. congress seat in 2006
Nevada: A Microcosim of Americas Struggles Highest Unemployment in Nation (14 % in Oct.) Highest Illegal Alien Population Highest foreclose rate in Country Economy spurred by gaming and mining 17 Counties, mostly rural and Republican Clark County accounts for 70% state population
THE ON-AIR AD CAMPAIGN Nasty and Personal Lone TV debate (no audience) was a flop Angles Ad Message - Reed supports illegal aliens - Reid to blame for economy, unemployment and foreclosures in Nevada Reids Ad message - Angle too Dangerous and Extreme for Nevada
What Happened? Rasmussen – miscalculated Reids appeal among unaffiliated voters CNN – the race flipped in final day Mason-Dixon – Underestimated ground game
Bibliography Abraham, Ryan. Interview of Harry Reid Campaign Volunteer. 10 Nov. 2010. Personal Interview. Associated Press (1). Poll: Harry Reids Approval Rating at 33 Percent in Nevada. The Boston Herald. 10 Jan. 2010. Web Associated Press (2). Feds Slate $57.2 million in housing aid for Nevada. HarryReid.com News. 29 Sep. 2010. Web http://www.harryreid.com/index.php/news/article/feds_slate_57.2_million_i n_housing_aid_for_nevada/ Associated Press (3). Unemployment surges in Nevada cities. My4 News. Web. 29 Sep.2010.. http://www.mynews4.com/story.php?id=28794&n=122 Ball (1), Molly. Comeback: How did Harry Reid do it? Politico. 4 Nov. 2010 Ball (2), Molly. No debate over Nevada debate. Politico. 15 Oct. 2010. Web. Catanese, David. Nevada Senate polling draws scrutiny. Politico. 10 Nov. 2010. Web. Damon, Annjeanette. Sen. Harry Reid wins fifth term against anti- incumbent fervor.The Las Vegas Sun. 2 Nov. 2010. Web. Goldberg, Delen. Harry Reids near-perfect game plan makes victory look like childs play. The Las Vegas Sun. 7 Nov. 2010. Web. Green, Steve. Report: Despite increases nationally, Las Vegas home prices continue slide. The Las Vegas Sun. 28 Sept. 2010. Web. Hagar, Ray. Who is Sharon Angle. Reno Gazette-Journal. Web. 20 Jul, 2010. Green, Steve. Report: Despite increases nationally, Las Vegas home prices continue slide. The Las Vegas Sun. 28 Sept. 2010. Web. Hagar, Ray. Who is Sharon Angle. Reno Gazette-Journal. Web. 20 Jul, 2010.
Bibliography cont. Hananoki, Eric. Sharon Angle brags about her fundraising from friendly outlets like Fox News. Media Matters for America. 22 Sep. 2010. Web. Lewison, Jed. Sue Lowdens health barter plan. DailyKosTV. 20 Apr. 2010. Web Video. Manu, Raju, Sharon Angle burns through money in third quarter. Politico. 15 Oct. 2010. Web. Ralston (1), Jon. One Word: Preparation. The Las Vegas Sun. 7 Nov. 2010. Web. Ralston (2), John, Ralstons Flash, The Las Vegas Sun. 30 Oct. 2010. Web. Sebelius, Steve. Tea Party: Angle gets the nod. Citylife Presents SlashPolitics. 15 Apr. 2010. Seigel, Elyse. Top Nevada Republican endorses Harry Reid, slams Sharon Angle. The Huffington Post. 7 Oct. 2010. Web. Slevin, Peter. New Arizona law puts police in 'tenuous' spot. The Washington Post.