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Six Rorschach Tests of The State of the Order From The State of the International Order Brookings 2014
China has already overtaken the U.S. in carbon emissions…
…and will soon surpass the U.S. in oil imports a dubious honor.
We have to think about Indias emissions too….
The past twenty years have seen a steady decline in the number and severity of wars…
…but the Middle East is now bucking this trend.
Theres been tremendous progress on poverty reduction (largely within the BRICs) and improved human development (globally)…
…But sustained progress could be eroded by rapid population growth.
The rate of progress in democratic development has slowed…
Massive spread of citizen access to information portends new changes whether liberating or complicating remains to be seen.
Rapid growth among the BRICs makes them a major fact of the international economy…
…but taken together, the U.S. and its allies are still far larger.
Changing trade patterns show increasing trade integration in Asia…
…but that is not forestalling the rise of military spending and new tensions.
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