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CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Future Ready? & What of the future? www.stephenarcher.eu.

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Presentation on theme: "CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Future Ready? & What of the future? www.stephenarcher.eu."— Presentation transcript:

1 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Future Ready? & What of the future? www.stephenarcher.eu

2 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June The market can remain irrational… John Maynard Keynes 1883 - 1946...for longer than you can remain insolvent.

3 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Europe : Free fall or Free of shackles?

4 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June

5 Fiscal Pact?

6 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June

7 Countries most exposed the Greek debt

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9 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Government Deficit as % of GDP 2012

10 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Government Deficit as % of GDP 2012

11 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June G8 Growth prospects

12 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Political Risk Economic Structure Economic Growth prospects Fiscal Flexibility General Government Debt burden Offshore and contingent liabilities Monetary Flexibility External Liquidity External Debt burden S&P Sovereign Rating Criteria

13 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June It never rains but it …..

14 Wait for austerity to work?

15 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Conditions for an effective fiscal pact in Eurozone - Central fiscal autonomy - Central monetary autonomy - Central budgeting across all nations - Central political leadership - Regional and sustainable electorate acquiescence to the above…

16 Break up the Euro?

17 Options & end Game ? - Greek exit - P & I exit - Total break up 60% 30% 10%

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19 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June CONFIDENCE IS WHAT YOU HAVE BEFORE YOU UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEM! WOODY ALLEN, 1935 -

20 The deficit reduction and outlook

21 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Funding-for- lending Funding-for- lending = $80b + confidence boost

22 You should do the mathematics but then burn the paper and write it down in words. Maths and models should be aids to thinking, not substitutes for it. Alfred Marshall [the founder of Cambridge economics]

23 A few dark clouds -Eurozone -Tools to trade with -Retail businesses -BRIC slow down

24 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June UK economic outlook for the next 12-18 months Growth Unemployment Inflation House prices Fiscal environment Consumer activity Confidence 1% 2.6m +2% Hold Muted Improving

25 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Reasons to be cheerful ! Collective will Forbearance We are not in the Euro Financial services will help GDP Bank asset values UK is seen as EU investment safe haven Credit rating agencies approving UK UK can cut expenditure and debt George may fully wake up

26 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June What your firm can be doing to prosper in the current and future markets

27 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Vision Strategy Talent Leadership Future ready: 4 key Growth enablers

28 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June 1. Where do you want your business to go? 2. Where are you now? 3. What do you need to do to get there? 4. How can you do it? 5. What are the opportunities (and threats) 6. What are the strengths (and weaknesses) 7. Who will make it happen....? Your destination – defines your journey

29 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June The price challenge Communicate & connect services to Value & Outcomes

30 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Enable & create change & innovation (a non negotiable culture) Challenge the team Empower the team Establish unambiguous actions

31 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Service innovations Product innovations 1. Treat your customers differently – as well as better than anyone else 2. Present yourselves differently 3. Create your Brand – knowingly 4. Sharing and Giving 5. Create discussions and projects Five ways to differentiate your business

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33 Steal with Pride ! vt

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35 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June Yes we can !

36 CCH UK Conference 2012: The Future Ready Firm London 21 June


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