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Europe 100% renewable in 2050 A logical explanation for a realistic vision Kristian Petrick Managing Director Factor CO 2 Ennova Barcelona, September 2010.

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Presentation on theme: "Europe 100% renewable in 2050 A logical explanation for a realistic vision Kristian Petrick Managing Director Factor CO 2 Ennova Barcelona, September 2010."— Presentation transcript:

1 Europe 100% renewable in 2050 A logical explanation for a realistic vision Kristian Petrick Managing Director Factor CO 2 Ennova Barcelona, September

2 2 I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the Earth." John F. Kennedy – May 25, 1961 Introduction With a fascinating vision, mankind is able to accomplish amazing projects

3 3 Agenda 1. Is it realistic? 2. Can we afford it? 3. Can we do it? a)Concept of Energy Autonomy b)Examples c)Energy Outlook a)Cost curves b)Business vs. public economics a)Urgency b)Stakeholder Analysis c)Recommendations Vision Europe 100% renewable in 2050 What is required to be convinced of a vision? – An open mind to follow logical arguments

4 4 Europe 1.a Concept of Energy Autonomy Wind parks, solar plants, geothermal, wave power, … Photovoltaic, solar thermal, heat pumps,.... Homes and buildings Regions / Countries Devices: Solar powered phones, laptops,... Appliances: Washing machines, motors,... Small hydro, biomass plants, solar parks,... Apartment buildings, vehicles,... Cities, Industries Villages and municipalities Animated slide Think in energy self-sufficient units – and demand, efficiency and renewables go hand-in-hand

5 5 1.b Examples: Devices Solar-calculators Existing… Solar-mobile phones Solar-MP3 Player Solar-Notebooks Probably soon… Designed by Albert Bellot Integrate the power supply in a practical and innovative way – making devices independent from the grid

6 6 1.b Examples: Appliances and buildings New appliances only with highest standards allowed South Gas / Oil Future …Today … Power Plus House South Accept higher efficiency standards, generate your own energy – and show your pride with convincing words Avoid misleading / unattractive terms like Passive House or Zero Energy House

7 7 Vehicles From now on …Until now … 3-liter Lupo E-Car ThinkE-Mini 3-liter Porsche Make efficient products attractive – not necessarily cheap! – with target-group specific marketing

8 8 1.b Examples: Industry Aluminium plant with solar power, Spain Aluminium plant with wind and ocean power, UK Aluminium plant with hydro power, Norway Aluminium plant with biomass power, Netherlands Maybe soon …Today … Consider renewable energy for your company – you find it already for competitive prices in Europe

9 9 Europe in 2050 …Europe today … Municipalities and regions Imagine yourself, your neighbours and your region using energy from nearby Coal Uranium Gas Oil Renewable generation Self-sufficient municipality Fossil/nuclear power plant

10 10 Renewable energies Fossil and nuclear energies Energy Conservation / Savings Energy Efficiency Intelligent (passive) use of energy 100% Active use of energy 2050 Small or easy applications/installationsComplex industries/cities 1.c Energy Outlook Energy Use Today Invest consistently in renewables and use energy intelligently – and the vision will come true automatically

11 11 Agenda So it may be realistic, but what is with the costs? 1. Is it realistic? 2. Can we afford it? 3. Can we do it? a)Concept of Energy Autonomy b)Examples c)Energy Outlook a)Cost curves b)Business vs. public economics a)Urgency b)Stakeholder Analysis c)Recommendations Vision Europe 100% renewable in 2050

12 12 2.a Cost curves Time developing countries Countries in transition developed countries Energy costs Renewable energies Economies of scale Technical improvements Affordable for... Fossil/nuclear energies Depletion Internalization of emissions Security of supply Today (depending on technology and location) Accept that the times of cheap energy are over – and realize that only renewables can become cheaper

13 13 2.b Business- vs. socio-economic costs Equipment & financing State Fossil economy Fossil Fuels & security of supply kWh subsidies / support schemes taxes Equipment & financing State Renewable economy kWh subsidies / support schemes taxes Business economics Socio economics Damage s Challenge the ones who say we cannot afford 100% renewables – let them define which costs they mean

14 14 2.c Relevant energy costs Luxury products and energy intensive leisure activities Food, health, clothing Savings / Provisions Housing / living Work, education, social life, vacation, information, related mobility Energy required..... must be affordable... can be expensive... for basic needs & pleasure... for additional convenience and leisure Use of income... Good life Relevant energy costs Sustainability discussion (not focus of this presentation) Keep in mind that the affordability argument only matters for living a good life, not a luxurious one

15 15 Agenda If it is realistic and affordable, what do we have to do? 1. Is it realistic? 2. Can we afford it? 3. Can we do it? a)Concept of Energy Autonomy b)Examples c)Energy Outlook a)Cost curves b)Business vs. public economics a)Urgency b)Stakeholder Analysis c)Recommendations Vision Europe 100% renewable in 2050

16 16 3.a Urgency 2015 < 80 months Time left according to IPCC to curb emissions world-wide We need a convincing vision to implement renewables faster avoid investments in old technologies avoid unnecessary emissions get innovative ideas of more people create optimism Renewables Fossil & nuclear Savings, eficiency and intelligent use Use of energy xxBe aware that we have to get on the right track now – and not waste time and money anymore

17 17 3.b Stakeholder Analysis Target Group Fossil / nuclearNeutralRenewables Deciders / Multipliers: Politicians Managers / Entrepreneurs Private Budget Holders Interests Normal Population: Private citizens Employees / Workforce Administration European Population Stakeholders Convince decision makers – and the population will increasingly benefit from renewable technologies

18 18 Serious humor The metal workers destroy our workplaces Save the hand axe industry! Union Stone and Axe: Maintain the subsidies Save us Greser & Lenz, Kunstmann Verlag Realize that the fossil age is over, the renewable age has begun – even if some may not like it

19 19 1.Inform yourself & your family about energy and climate change 2.Buy smart (= considering energy) 3.Switch / turn off what you dont use 1.Invest smart (= considering energy) 2.Improve & support renewable technologies 3.Have guts to change unsustainable business models or jobs 1.Implement consistent policies quickly 2.Provide infrastructure and support 3.Prohibit inefficient / polluting technologies and activities & normal citizens& employees / workforce& administration staff 3.c Recommendations Private Budget HoldersManagers & EntrepreneursPoliticians Act consistently in private, business and public matters – and just start today

20 20 A European Vision We believe that this continent should commit itself to achieving the goal, before half of the century is out, of using solely renewable energies and living in a sustainable way on Earth." The European Parliament, the European Commission, the Head of States of the European Union, the Party Leaders of the Member States – December 2010 Get inspired by a fascinating vision – for yourself, our children, nature and mankind

21 21 Conclusion Contact: Kristian Petrick Factor CO 2 Ennova Thank you for your attention! Europe 100% renewable in 2050 is a realistic vision – just spread the word!


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