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Cosponsorship Data 280,000 bills proposed in the U.S. House and Senate from 1973 to 2004 (93rd-108th Congresses) recorded in Thomas over 2.1 million cosponsorship.

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Presentation on theme: "Cosponsorship Data 280,000 bills proposed in the U.S. House and Senate from 1973 to 2004 (93rd-108th Congresses) recorded in Thomas over 2.1 million cosponsorship."— Presentation transcript:

1 Cosponsorship Data 280,000 bills proposed in the U.S. House and Senate from 1973 to 2004 (93rd-108th Congresses) recorded in Thomas over 2.1 million cosponsorship signatures partitioned by chamber and Congress to create 32 separate cosponsorship networks http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu/cosponsorship.htm

2 Cosponsorship in the House

3 Cosponsorship in the Senate

4 Mutual Cosponsorship Relations

5 Connectedness: An Alternative Measure Traditional measures of centrality generate plausible names None takes advantage of information about the strength of social relationships Total number of cosponsors on each bill Legislators recruit first those legislators to whom they are most closely connected. More cosponsors = lower probability of direct connection Bills with fewer total cosponsors more reliable Strength of the connection between i and j = 1/c ij Total number of bills sponsored by j and cosponsored by i More bills in common = stronger relationship Weighted cosponsorship distance

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7 Legislative connectedness Suppose direct distance from legislator j to legislator i is simple inverse of the cosponsorship weight Then use Dijkstras algorithm (Cormen et al. 2001) Starting with legislator j, identify from a list of all other legislators the closest legislator i Replace each of the distances with Remove legislator i from the list and repeat until there are no more legislators on the list. Connectedness is the inverse of the average of these distances from all other legislators to legislator j.

8 Results for the House

9 Results for the Senate

10 Quality of Strongest Weighted Relationships Institutional Ties House committee chairs and ranking members Senate majority and minority leaders Regional Ties From the same state In the House they are often from contiguous districts Issue Ties Rep. Jim DeMint and Sue Myrick -- Republican Study Committee Sen. George Mitchell and Jim Sasser -- Federal Housing Reform Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchinson and Sam Brownback -- marriage penalty relief and bankruptcy reform Personal Ties Senator John McCain chaired Senator Phil Gramms 1996 Presidential campaign McCain has told the media that they have been friends since 1982 when they served together in the House (McGrory 1995)

11 108th House Top 20

12 108th Senate Top 20

13 External Validity: Legislative Influence Widely used measure of legislative influence is number of successful floor amendments Hall 1992; Sinclair 1989; Smith 1989; Weingast 1991 1 SD increase in connectedness increases successful floor amendments 53% in House 65% in Senate

14 External Validity: Roll Call Votes Model roll call votes as in Poole and Rosenthal, adding connectedness score of sponsor 1 SD increase in connectedness of sponsor increases votes for bill by 5.2 in House 8.2 in Senate 2 SD increase would change 16% of House votes and 20% of Senate votes

15 Landmark Legislation: An Alternative to Mayhew

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17 Modularity (Newman and Girvan 2004) Define modularity to be Q = (number of edges within groups) – (expected number within groups). Actual Number of Edges between i and j is Expected Number of Edges between i and j is

18 Modularity Matrix So Q is a sum of over pairs (i, j) that are in the same group Or we can write in matrix form as Where B is a new characteristic matrix, the modularity marix, (s i, s j )

19 Modularity Matrix Algorithm Calculate the leading eigenvector of the modularity matrix Divide the vertices according to the signs of the elements Note that there is no need to forbid the solution with all the vertices in a single group.

20 Example

21 Example Applications Books on politics The vertices represent 105 recent books sold from Amazon.com Divide the books according to their political alignment Liberal / Conservative / Centrist

22 Example

23 Polarization in the 108th Senate

24 108th House by Party

25 108th House by Ideology

26 108th House by State

27 108th House by Committee

28 Polarization Over Time in the House

29 Polarization Over Time in the Senate

30 Black Legislators in the 103rd House

31 Black Legislators in the 104th House

32 Black Legislators in the 108th House

33 Poor Districts in the 108th House


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