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Congressional Elections: Looking at Some Basics Dennis W. Johnson.

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Presentation on theme: "Congressional Elections: Looking at Some Basics Dennis W. Johnson."— Presentation transcript:

1 Congressional Elections: Looking at Some Basics Dennis W. Johnson

2 Congressional Campaigns In House races, far fewer resources than senate, gubernatorial, and certainly presidential campaigns

3 Congressional Campaigns In House races, far fewer resources than senate, gubernatorial, and certainly presidential campaigns House incumbents may have a $1 million to spend; challengers often far less

4 Congressional Campaigns In House races, far fewer resources than senate, gubernatorial, and certainly presidential campaigns House incumbents may have a $1 million to spend; challengers often far less House incumbents return to office about percent of time.

5 Senate Races Average Senate campaign will spend about $5 million; but varies widely ($30 million in California).

6 Senate Races Average Senate campaign will spend about $5 million; but varies widely ($30 million in California). With those resources, Senate campaign can afford full range of communication resources. Unlike House candidate.

7 In a Presidential Cycle... Not same voters as in 2006 (or 2002 voters for a Senator running for re- election)

8 In a Presidential Cycle... Not same voters as in 2006 Airwaves will be saturated

9 Ways Congressional Campaigns Communicate In major media markets, House candidates cant afford TV

10 Ways Congressional Campaigns Communicate In major media markets, House candidates cant afford TV For House: Direct mail; radio; telemarketing; newspaper; billboards; even show leather. Old-school communications.

11 Ways Congressional Campaigns Communicate In major media markets, cant afford TV Direct mail; radio; telemarketing; newspaper; billboards; even shoe leather. Old-school communications. Little help from free media

12 Campaigning Online A Congressional campaign – House or Senate -- would be foolish not to have online resources --

13 Campaigning Online A Congressional campaign – House or Senate -- would be foolish not to have online resources – And a campaign would be foolish to rely solely on online resources.

14 Campaigning Online In House races, dont expect sophisticated online presence, like seen at presidential level.

15 Campaigning Online In House races, dont expect sophisticated online presence, like seen at presidential level. In Senate race, campaigns should be able to mount sophisticated online presence – not presidential level, but certainly sufficient

16 Cardinal Principle of Campaigning The candidate is responsible for the conduct and execution of every aspect of the campaign.

17 Cardinal Principle of Campaigning The candidate is responsible for the conduct and execution of every aspect of the campaign. s, contents of blogs, links to external sources, social networking sites, etc.

18 Nationalization of the Contest Anticipate national 527s, rogue blogging sites, YouTube postings, text-messaging.

19 Nationalization of the Contest Anticipate national 527s, rogue blogging sites, YouTube postings, text-messaging Your job: put all this in context for readerswhos responsible for this attack, what is this innocuous- sounding organization, who are these people?

20 What You Should Do Hold online campaigning to the same critical standard as pre-online campaigning.

21 What You Should Do Hold online campaigning to the same critical standard as pre-online campaigning. Sign up for every possible and RSS feed.

22 What You Should Do Hold online campaigning to the same critical standard as pre-online campaigning. Sign up for every possible and RSS feed. Understand that the competing candidates are but two voices in the cacophony of this campaign.

23 What You Should Do Finally – unless you tell the story, congressional elections will be lost to your readership, drowned out in the noise of presidential campaigning.


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