Presentation on theme: "Applications, effects, and architectures David Kitzinger – Principal Advisory Services, LLC Allied Telesis - Technology & Consulting Director David Kitzinger."— Presentation transcript:
Applications, effects, and architectures David Kitzinger – Principal Advisory Services, LLC Allied Telesis - Technology & Consulting Director David Kitzinger – Principal Advisory Services, LLC Allied Telesis - Technology & Consulting Director THE HIGH SPEED INTERNET ULTRA
» What is Ultra High Speed Interent (UHSI)? » Potential Applications over UHSI » Can you monetize the applications? » How does UHSI affect todays Service Providers? » What architecture do you need to support UHSI? » Summary? Agenda:
» A SERVICE that requires a Direct fiber connection –Copper, WiMAX and 4G LTE cant support this » A PLATFORM for new residential and business apps –Running on the same network –Requiring QoS capability and SLA » A VERSION of the Internet measured in Gb/s –Dependent more on speed than bandwidth –More than100 times faster than todays average speeds What is Ultra High Speed Internet (UHSI)?
» When the Internet was 56 Kb/s, these applications did not exist: » If 56 Kb/s was still the best Internet speed today, these companies would not exist as you know them: » DSL and Cable changed all of that because of SPEED. –IPTV –VoIP How does speed affect our lives? –Movie downloads –E-commerce –Social Networking –Cloud Computing
The big picture? New USA Technologies will likely be an Enabler to UHSI » Enable lower cost manufacturing –3D Printers –3D Scanners –The promise of putting USA manufacturing on par with Chinas costs –Bandwidth and optical transport should become more cost efficient » Graphene –Strongest building material known to man –Has the potential to be the next generation of video screens and next generation of HDTVs –-Solar Panels
» True IPTV Todays telcos are really running a broadcast, cable TV business Tomorrows telcos will be running True IPTV » HDTV, 4K, 8K Ultra HDTV, 3D, and other high-bandwidth formats become the norm (OTT) Video No such thing as a static channel line-up Channel selections made by Personal Intelligent Channel Search Engine or PICSE Next applications… gaming, home business/office, education, etc. » Most content will come from servers Reduced dependence on Satellite-based systems and encoders will no longer be necessary Advertising shifts from broadcast TV model to Internet Search model What new applications will run on the UHSI?
More applications … » True Home Office –Video conference calls using V2oIP –Instant uploads and downloads of data –Data servers can be located at residences –Managed Home network services is born » Universal Data Cloud-Based Services –Individuals storing software, music/video content, etc. –Small businesses storing software and sensitive retail data, etc. –Large businesses can enjoy multiple Gb/s speeds to move data off premise –Cost effective for Business – reduced software fees and hardware expenses
More applications … » Software Defined Networks (SDN) » The farm industry is moving toward Precision Agriculture: farming based on (2) acre grids with data bases of soil type/moisture/humous - controlling on-the-go seed variety, fertilizer applications, and pesticide/rootworm concentrations » Baby diaper monitoring sensor: » Tweets parent when diaper is wet » Detection of Urine factors/acidity level – tweet parents that the baby may be coming down with a virus or illness » Wearable Personal Medical Monitoring Systems » Automatically sends data to Cloud for medical records
VERY NEGATIVE » Unlikely to abandon Hybrid Fiber Coax (HFC) architecture » Xfinity and other Internet offerings will be no match for UHSI » Video on Demand (VoD) business is gone » VoIP will be replaced with V2oIP » UHSI-based IPTV application will slowly displace standard broadcast TV NEGATIVE to NEUTRAL » UHSI will negate impact of their new Mb/s Internet offering » Continue to be strong for broadcast content (ex. Sports) How does the UHSI affect todays Servioce Providers? VERY POSITIVE » Likely to expand fiber architectures » UHSI will dominate Internet, Gaming, TV and Movies » Complexity of home network will give rise to Managed Home service CableCableSatelliteSatelliteTelecomTelecom
Affect on market share over the next 25 years Services:CableSatelliteTelecom Internet Phone Broadcast TV Unicast TV VoD Managed Home Significant Decrease Significant Increase No Significant Change
What architecture do you need to support UHSI? Continued Multi-Dwelling Most new Fiber Plant designs are based on all Home-Run-Fibers Typically, on a new FTTH deployment the Fiber Installation cost is the majority of the money. The FTTH equipment is typically amounts to 5% to 8% of the cost. Todays Actvie Architecture offers on average 18 times more bandwidth than GPON Passive: Do the math GPON offers 76 Mbps downstream & 38 Mbps upsgtream; averaging 57 Mbps. 1 Gb divided by 56 Mbps = 18 times 10 Gb GPON compared to 1 Gb Ethernet Active is not a like comparison: 10 Gb GPON should be compared to 10 Gb Active which still offers more bandwidth A good cost evaluation may be best based upon cost per Mb
What architecture do you need to support UHSI? » The Smart Connected Home –Layer 3+ indoor wireless ONT with indoor wireless hubs Layer 3+ ONT the network router for the home; connections for Video & Internet MACs become automatic and do not require separate VLANs for Video and Internet; thus, saving operational expense and simplifies the Connected Home –1 MAC/IP supporting a growing number of wireless devices (iPhone, iPad, laptop, etc.) Trend is toward the Indoor wireless ONT to avoid wiring issues Wireless hubs for ubiquitous coverage throughout the home Broadband Video POTS One Network NEW WAY OLD WAY Hub
What architecture do you need to support UHSI? » The Office and Feeder… –WDM-based Minimize fibers and impact of fiber cuts and repairs in the feeder Maximize bandwidth to each RT –100G capable to average RT Plan for NO concentration for a Gigabit per premise –Needs to be symmetrical all the way to the premise UHSI will require large upstream capability to support new applications –Needs to support both residential and business traffic DONT build two networks Multi-Dwelling Business House Apartment fiber Cell Site Central Office
Summary: Multi-Dwelling The Tier 3 Telcos attitudes and offerings were likely influenced by the FCC USF tax which has provided NECA subsidies to your company over many years. However, the USF NECA subsidies as we know them will finish in 2018. FCC has released statements and intentions of Connect America Funds: CAF (1) was based on USF taxes still collected on Wireline and wireless voice circuits; contained limits on Administration/Overhead and maxed out at $775.00 per access line. CAF (2) was announced and FCC stated their biggest concern was over the Tier 1 & Tier 2 rural exchanges that had no internet offering or could not meet the 4x1 guidelines. FCC stated that their rural exchanges should be treated as greenfield with plans to convert them to FTTH. CAF (2) was to be based on Broadband taxes. Due to Telco Associations filing concerns with FCC as to their breach of (7) year funding and future funding promises for which Telcos based their loans for FTTH; FCC agreed to keep funding for (5) years at the level the telco received in 2011. Note: It was agreed upon years ago not to tax the internet. Many States have asked the internet to provide the Sales Tax due to each state but have failed. Congress does not seem to have the fortitude to tax the internet. Thus, does FCC really have a plan?
Summary: Multi-Dwelling FCC suggested Gb Communities for each State in 2013 Today 80% + of the internet traffic is Video: Streaming OTT Video /HDTV will migrate to higher bandwidth, the baby boomers may keep CATV alive but as their generation declines – Streaming Video is in. Internet ready TVs with PISCE may bring the baby boomers into the modern times. Data Bandwidth will grow as Business & Residential consumers migrate to Cloud computing. Does your company have a Cloud Computing Partner to recommend to your Access customers and can you monetize the application? Considering Precision Farming, does your company view farmers as business accounts and will you offer brackets of service levels or charge by Gb of usage? Do you offer a Home Security System directly or through a partner? Many new UHSI Applications will be created once the bandwidth is available! In light of todays economy and FCC policies; has your Telephone Company really considered the value of the services they offer? It is time for the Communication Industry to Retool with FTTH?