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U.S. Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Weather Outlook Mike Tannura Owner, Meteorologist and Agricultural Economist T-storm Weather, LLC Advance Trading Chicago,

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Presentation on theme: "U.S. Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Weather Outlook Mike Tannura Owner, Meteorologist and Agricultural Economist T-storm Weather, LLC Advance Trading Chicago,"— Presentation transcript:

1 U.S. Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Weather Outlook Mike Tannura Owner, Meteorologist and Agricultural Economist T-storm Weather, LLC Advance Trading Chicago, Illinois April 12, 2013

2 Major Drought Lingers Source: High Plains Regional Climate Center

3 U.S. Winter Wheat Production

4 Precipitation (Percent of Normal) Weighted By U.S. Crop Production 180-Day Period Ending Yesterday 39% of HRW wheat in drought, compared to 2% of SRW wheat and 10% of corn

5 Winter Wheat Rated Poor and Very Poor As of Monday, April 8 Includes more than 50% of wheat in Nebraska, South Dakota, and Texas

6 U.S. Corn Production

7 Source: National Weather Service Much of the central / northern Plains and Corn Belt were wet over the long term Precipitation Percent of Normal, 180-Day Period Ending Yesterday

8 U.S. Corn Yield Data source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

9 U.S. Corn Yield Data source: National Agricultural Statistics Service Yields represent the departure from the linear trend over

10 U.S. Corn Yield and Lagged September-April Precipitation* * Precipitation in Illinois-Indiana-Iowa Data sources: National Agricultural Statistics Service, National Climatic Data Center Yields represent the departure from the linear trend over

11 Snowpack Yesterday at 1 AM Central Time Snowpack is widespread from the Canada Prairies into the north-central U.S.

12 Snowpack One Year Ago Yesterday at 1 AM Central Time Snowpack is widespread from the Canada Prairies into the north-central U.S.

13 Coldness and Jet Stream Cannot Move With Snowpack

14 Ongoing / Upcoming Pattern Likely To Limit Corn Planting

15 Neutral Conditions Exist And Are Expected To Continue – El Niño or La Niña Conditions Do Not Exist

16 Data source: Climate Prediction Center

17 Data source: Climate Prediction Center, National Agricultural Statistics Service Neutral conditions persisted 10 times over January-October since , 1961, 1962, 1967, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1990, 1993, and 2004 Neutral Conditions

18 Data source: Climate Prediction Center, National Agricultural Statistics Service Neutral conditions persisted 10 times over January-October since , 1961, 1962, 1967, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1990, 1993, and 2004 U.S. Corn Yield and Neutral Conditions

19 March Temperature Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa

20 10 Coldest Marches Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa

21 July Temperature Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa After The Coldest Marches

22 July Precipitation Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa After The Coldest Marches

23 Thank You! Questions? Mike Tannura Owner, Meteorologist, Agricultural Economist Website: Phone: (312) Toll Free Phone: (866)


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