Presentation on theme: "Property and Casualty Reinsurance Issues from a Midwestern Buyers Perspective February 9, 2004 Marty Orth, ACAS, MAAA Farm Bureau Financial Services Farm."— Presentation transcript:
Property and Casualty Reinsurance Issues from a Midwestern Buyers Perspective February 9, 2004 Marty Orth, ACAS, MAAA Farm Bureau Financial Services Farm Bureau Mutual Insurance Company Vice President Research and Development
Speech Style There are many issues Who can predict the next major issue? Therefore, this is an interactive speech Your participation appreciated
Lets take a sampling What is your Reinsurance Knowledge? 1.Never Involved…know very little 2.Work with infrequently 3.Part of current responsibilities 4.Primary responsibility
Participation and Discussion What do you think the reinsurance issues are in 2004? What do you think the long-term reinsurance issues will be over the next 10 years?
LESSON 1: Reinsurance Purposes Limit liability of specific risks Stabilize loss experience Protect against catastrophes Increase capacity Other –Entry into a new line –Cut off exposure on an existing line –Gain reinsurers expertise
LESSON 2: Reinsurance Does NOT Change the inherent nature of the risk Make a bad risk insurable Make an exposure more predictable or desirable Alter the total risk exposure
Types of Reinsurance General Types FacultativeTreatyFinancialAlso Proportional or Pro rata Excess reinsurance or non-proportional
Reinsurance Examples FACExcess –Property Per Risk –Excess Per Occurrence Property Catastrophe Aggregate Excess of Loss Funded Programs LPT
Property Facultative Obligatory Reinsurance Treaty (FOT) Characteristics Capacity to write larger risks Stability by limiting exposure on an individual risk Degree of catastrophe protection from major loss on an individual risk Vehicle to protect other reinsurance results Limits ceding companys exposure on risks not normally written by the company
Surplus Share Program Example Risk Size = $1,000,000 Retention = $200,000 Company retains 20%
Fundamentals of Reinsurance WWW.REINSURANCE.ORG
Overview Current Market Overview Reinsurance Issues Midwestern Buyers View
2001 Combined Ratios Source: Reinsurance Association of America – Reinsurance Underwriting Report
2002 Combined Ratios Source: Reinsurance Association of America – Reinsurance Underwriting Report
2003 9-Month Combined Ratios Source: Reinsurance Association of America – Reinsurance Underwriting Report
Historical Combined Ratios Source: Reinsurance Association of America – Reinsurance Underwriting Report
RAA Industry Results – U.S. Reinsurers Source: Reinsurance Association of America – Reinsurance Underwriting Report
Reinsurance Bits and Pieces Reinsurance outlook Reserve Charge Example YIELD
Reinsurance Outlook Continuous reserve development? Financial Rating Issues Capitalization –Is Bermuda overcapitalized? –Will there be additional capital entering? Continued reinsurer exits and consolidations?
XL Capital Ltd – 2004 Example January 13 –XL Capital Ltd Completes Previously Announced Claims Audit Review and Year End Reserve Review Expects fourth quarter charge of $647 million after taxes –Majority due to adverse development in Companys North American reinsurance operations for casualty business written during 1997-2001 underwriting years Company to raise at least $750 million of new capital
XL Capital Ltd – 2004 Example January 14 –A.M. Best Downgraded all debt ratings of XL Capital Ltd. (Cayman Islands) Placed ratings of A+ (superior) under review with negative outlook for XL Capital Group (Hamilton, Bermuda) and its affiliated companies –S&P Cuts XL Capital Rating to AA- vs. AA
XL Capital Ltd – 2004 Example January 22 –XL Capital Ltd Announces Retirement Of Insurance Operations Chief Executive
XL Capital Ltd – 2004 Example January 22 –XL Capital Ltd Announces Management Changes Within Its Global Reinsurance Operations
Special Termination Language Special Termination Language or Downgrading Clauses –Dont Rely on it –Do the Due Diligence –Reinsurers beginning to resist –Could allow run on the bank due to return premiums
Legacy Issues Mold Construction Defects AsbestosEnvironmental9/11 Professional Liability/ Med Mal Others???
Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) Update A.M. Best SRQ What are your potential targets? TRIA Flow Chart Update
A. M. Best SRQ VI. Terrorism Section –41. Terrorism Exposure Management –42. Largest Single Insurance At Risk –43. Largest Single Insured TIV –44. Zonal Aggregate Exposure
TRIA Update AIR landmark database includes over 300,000 Potential Targets
Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 Coverage Flowchart LOSS OCCURS Is it a Certified Act? Yes Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 sunsets on December 31, 2005. The Act only applies to Commercial insurance which includes Farmowners. Department of Treasury is sole authority on terrorism act certification. Not Covered by Policy Covered by Policy Pay & Submit to Treasury No Does underlying policy have a Terrorism Exclusion? Yes Deny Claim No Pay loss – Collect against the Terrorists Deny Claim
TRIA Update Treasury survey –How is the industry handling Will the industry have enough capacity to handle itself? Will TRIA be allowed to sunset?
Mad Cow What is a Mad Cow –Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy What does this have to do with reinsurance?
Mad Cow USDAs Risk Management Agency (RMA) –Offers Livestock Risk Protection Market-based price protection policy Mad Cow Disease found in Washington State Results –Sold more policies on that day as compared to life-to-date of program
GMOs What are they? –Genetically Modified Organisms Issues –Potential Liability? Cross pollination Loss of market value HealthOther –Reinsurance Issues?
Hard Market Is the Primary market softening What are the Reinsurance Issues Best Rating Issues