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Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds and Options Presented by Don Vialoux, CMT

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Presentation on theme: "Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds and Options Presented by Don Vialoux, CMT"— Presentation transcript:

1 Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds and Options Presented by Don Vialoux, CMT www.dvtechtalk.com www.timingthemarket.cadvialoux@dvtechtalk.com

2 Yes, You Can Time Equity Markets Tools neededTools needed –Fundamental analysis –Technical analysis –Seasonality analysis

3 Buy and hold strategies no longer are workingBuy and hold strategies no longer are working The current 16 year cycle suggests that Buy/Hold is unlikely to work until the next decadeThe current 16 year cycle suggests that Buy/Hold is unlikely to work until the next decade Why Time the Market?

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8 How to Time the Market Play intermediate swings lasting 5 – 15 months using seasonality analysisPlay intermediate swings lasting 5 – 15 months using seasonality analysis

9 Seasonality Analysis Buy when it snows, sell when it goesBuy when it snows, sell when it goes For Canadian stocks Buy at the end of October, sell at the end of MarchBuy at the end of October, sell at the end of March For U.S. Stocks Buy at the end of October,Buy at the end of October, sell at the end of April

10 Sector Seasonality Canadian Energy SectorCanadian Energy Sector –From the end of Jan. to the end of May –Number of gains during past 10 periods: 9 –Average gain per period: 11.7%

11 How to Invest Own energy stocks or iUnits on the TSX Energy sector (XEG)Own energy stocks or iUnits on the TSX Energy sector (XEG) Complete covered call writes using XEG callsComplete covered call writes using XEG calls Complete cash secured put writes using XEG putsComplete cash secured put writes using XEG puts

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13 Sector Seasonality Canadian Gold SectorCanadian Gold Sector –From the end of Jan. to the end of May –Number of gains during past 10 periods: 7 –Average gain per period: 9.0%

14 How to Invest Own Canadian gold producer stocks or own iUnits on the TSX Gold Index (XGI)Own Canadian gold producer stocks or own iUnits on the TSX Gold Index (XGI) Complete covered call writes using XGD callsComplete covered call writes using XGD calls Complete cash secured put writes using XGD putsComplete cash secured put writes using XGD puts

15 Contacts Don VialouxDon Vialouxwww.dvtechtalk.com Listed OptionsListed Optionswww.m-x.ca Exchange Traded FundsExchange Traded Fundswww.iunits.com

16 Questions Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this presentation are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. They should not be considered as recommendations made by Mr. Vialoux, the Montreal Exchange, or Barclays Global Investors.


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