The Thin-film Future… Sales price of <$1/Wp possible by 2010? More modules & greater yield for less money? Winning technology? (CdTl, CIGS, a-Si) Where to buy?
Expertise in the room… James Surowiecki: The Wisdom of Crowds Large groups of people are smarter than an elite few
Thin-film market survey (1) When do you expect the production cost of thin-film modules to fall below $1/Wp? SMS to , adding: 0 for by the end of for by the end of for after 2012
Thin-film market survey (2) In 5 years the cheapest solar kWh from power plants will be produced by: SMS to , adding: 0 for Thin-film technology 1 for Crystalline Si technology 2 for Concentrated or thermal solar technology
Thin-film market survey (3) Will we see consolidation in the thin-film industry in the next 5 years? SMS to , adding: 0 for No, more manufacturers 1 for Yes, fewer but bigger manufacturers
Thin-film market survey (4) In 2015 the biggest market for thin-film products will be: SMS to , adding: 0 for Europe 1 for Asia 2 for Middle East & Africa 3 for Central and North America
Thin-film market survey (5) In 2015 the leading technology in terms of industry capacity will be... SMS to , adding: 0 for Thin-film technology 1 for Crystalline Si technology 2 for Concentrated and solar thermal technology
Thin-film market survey (6) The major constraint on rapid growth of the thin-film industry is: SMS to , adding: 0 for feedstock availability (silane, indium, cadmium, tellurium) 1 for availability of quality glass 2 for availability of markets