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permanent tsb House Price Index 10 Year Review 2 House Price Index 10 Year Review National annual price growth averaged 14.9% over the last 10 years.

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Presentation on theme: "permanent tsb House Price Index 10 Year Review 2 House Price Index 10 Year Review National annual price growth averaged 14.9% over the last 10 years."— Presentation transcript:

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2 permanent tsb House Price Index 10 Year Review

3 2 House Price Index 10 Year Review National annual price growth averaged 14.9% over the last 10 years. Ten year growth rate nationally 270% had highest annual price growth (30.0%) & 2001 had lowest (4.5%). National house price grew from 75k to 280k between 1996 & Price gap between Dublin and Outside Dublin increased from 10k to 130k between 1996 and Key findings

4 3 House Price Index 10 Year Review Key drivers of past price growth - favourable economic & interest rate environment; increasing population. External shocks have impacted on general growth trends. 1 / 3 of current housing stock (547,000) was built in last 10 years. Value of the Housing Stock has grown 4 fold to 412bn in last 10 years (Source ESRI). Key findings continued

5 4 House Price Index 10 Year Review Market changes and drivers Price trends Property ownership patterns Agenda

6 5 House Price Index 10 Year Review Market changes and drivers

7 6 House Price Index 10 Year Review Average annual growth 14.9%over the last 10 years. 30.0% 150k 100k 85k 2.4% 200k 250k 290k

8 7 House Price Index 10 Year Review A number of Government tax/grant changes have introduced in the last 10 years.

9 8 House Price Index 10 Year Review A number of Government tax/grant changes have been introduced in the last 10 years. Bacon 1 Bacon 2 Bacon 3

10 9 House Price Index 10 Year Review GNP influence on house price growth.

11 10 House Price Index 10 Year Review Fertile economic and interest rate environment has significantly helped the market thrive. Loan rate 3.75% Loan rate 7.5% GNP averaged 6.5%p.a

12 11 House Price Index 10 Year Review External shocks seem to have influenced house price growth over the last 10 years. Economist & IMF warnings IMF warning

13 12 House Price Index 10 Year Review Affordabilty broadly stable since 1998.

14 13 House Price Index 10 Year Review Price trends

15 14 House Price Index 10 Year Review Selected price growth rates from 1996 to 2005.

16 15 House Price Index 10 Year Review Price gap between Dublin and Outside Dublin has widened to almost 130k in last 10 years December prices

17 16 House Price Index 10 Year Review Urbanisation/ commuting/ demand for second homes key drivers of regional differences. 000s 6 month average prices

18 17 House Price Index 10 Year Review Top 5 and bottom 5 areas by 10 year growth rates. Note : Dublin prices are end of year levels, while other prices are yearly average.

19 18 House Price Index 10 Year Review House prices for a first-time buyer and non-FTB now diverge by over 60,000. December prices

20 19 House Price Index 10 Year Review Prices for New and Existing properties have grown by more than three fold, while price gap has remained unchanged in last 10 years December prices

21 20 House Price Index 10 Year Review Majority of properties now priced over 250k compared to 1996 when most were less than 100k.

22 21 House Price Index 10 Year Review Property ownership patterns

23 22 House Price Index 10 Year Review Semi-detached continues to be most common property type

24 23 House Price Index 10 Year Review Property size shows no change in Dublin, increasing in the rest of Ireland. Size in sq. ft.

25 24 House Price Index 10 Year Review Significant rise in the percentage of apartments within DUBLIN properties since Dublin

26 25 House Price Index 10 Year Review Commuter counties (Meath; Wicklow; Kildare; Louth) profile moving towards Dublin. Commuter counties

27 26 House Price Index 10 Year Review Almost 75%of properties OUTSIDE DUBLIN are detached or semi- detached; apartment percentage unchanged since Outside Dublin

28 27 House Price Index 10 Year Review Dramatic change in heating source over last 10 years

29 28 House Price Index 10 Year Review Summary

30 29 House Price Index 10 Year Review National annual house price growth averaged almost 15% National price increased from 75k in 1996 to 280k at end of GNP averaging 6.5% and interest rates down to half pre EMU levels key market drivers. Affordability broadly stable since Dublin and Outside Dublin price difference grown from 10k to 130k Significant variation in ten year price growth across counties. 55% of properties priced over 250k in just 1% in % increase in no. of apts within Dublin properties over 10 yrs. Properties Outside Dublin getting larger while Dublin ones unchanged Summary & Conclusions

31 30 House Price Index 10 Year Review Appendices

32 31 House Price Index 10 Year Review County price differentials have widened significantly, especially in the last five years. Note : Dublin prices are end of year levels, while other prices are yearly average.

33 32 House Price Index 10 Year Review Housing completions continue to set new records Source: Department of the Environment (DOE)

34 33 House Price Index 10 Year Review Population - almost 50%(1.8m) of the pop. aged < 30. Net inward migration accounted for almost half of 65,000 total pop. growth to April 2004 (Source CSO).

35 34 House Price Index 10 Year Review REGIONAL LISTING BORDER - Cavan; Donegal; Leitrim; Louth; Monaghan; Sligo. MIDEAST - Kildare; Meath; Wicklow. MIDLANDS - Laois; Longford; Offaly; Westmeath. MIDWEST - Clare; Limerick; Tipperary North. SOUTH EAST - Carlow; Kilkenny; Wexford; Waterford; Tipperary South. SOUTH WEST - Cork; Kerry. WEST - Galway; Mayo; Roscommon.


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