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ARE WE AT A TIPPING POINT: The Status and Direction of Education in Utah 1 Dr. Richard E. Kendell Utah Education Policy Center April 14, 2010.

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Presentation on theme: "ARE WE AT A TIPPING POINT: The Status and Direction of Education in Utah 1 Dr. Richard E. Kendell Utah Education Policy Center April 14, 2010."— Presentation transcript:

1 ARE WE AT A TIPPING POINT: The Status and Direction of Education in Utah 1 Dr. Richard E. Kendell Utah Education Policy Center April 14, 2010

2 2 The New Yorker, March 22, 2010

3 Utah Public School Enrollment – Annual ChangeTotal Enrollment% Change ,744495,6851.8% ,330510,0122.9% ,648525,6603.1% ,650537,6532.6% ,360551,0132.5% ,260563,2732.2% Projected11,044574,3172.0% 3 USOE Annual Superintended reports

4 Utah System of Higher Education Historical Fall Enrollments Historical Fall 3rd Week Headcounts UU30,55830,51129,79730,22831,407 USU23,10723,62324,42123,92525,065 WSU18,33418,64218,30621,67423,331 SUU6,8597,0297,0577,5168,066 SNOW4,1134,1793,7453,7984,368 DSC9,1145,9675,9446,4437,911 CEU2,1792,2202,0782,0822,173 UVSC24,48723,30523,84026,69628,765 SLCC25,55125,15925,14429,86733,776 Total144,302140,635140,332152,229164,862 4 Utah System of Higher Education 2010 Tab C: Executive Summary

5 Utah System of Higher Education System Total Projections Fall Headcounts Actual Fall Head count Projected Projected Projected Total % Change UU31,40732,78534,37935, % USU25,06527,04028,73129, % WSU23,33121,43022,72923, % SUU8,0667,5838,95710, % SNOW4,3684, , % DSC7,9118,3669,68010, % CEU2,1732,3592,3522, % UVSC28,76531,30535,71738, % SLCC33,77629,20334,75939, % Total164,862164,792182,458195, % 5 Utah System of Higher Education 2010 Tab C: Table 11

6 Demographic Trends 6 Source: "Utahs Demographic Transformation: A View into the Future Pamela S. Perlich, Senior Research Economist. Volume 68, Number 3

7 Lack of Completion Lack of Completion Source: Bureau of the Census, 2000 (updated 2003) Highest Level of Educational Attainment, Age 25+, by Race/Ethnicity

8 A Changing Workforce The projected percentage employment growth in the U.S. from 2004 to 2014 by level of education required Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics

9 A Changing Workforce More than 2/3 of new jobs require some postsecondary education More than 2/3 of new jobs require some postsecondary education Source: Carnevale, Anthony P., & Desrochers, Donna M., Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K-16 Reform, Educational Testing Service, 2003.

10 Utahs Top 25 Five Star Jobs: Annual Openings OccupationGrowthReplacementsTotal Management Business/Finance Computer/Math Architecture/Engineers Education/Training Healthcare/Technical Sales/Related Construction Installation/Maintenance and Repair Total

11 New England 2020 June 2006 It is not an understatement then to suggest that our future hinges on whether thousands of young people will launch their educations, their graduate studies and their careers here in New England. Understanding the importance of college students as a wellspring of our population growth compels us to expand our conception of higher education institutions, recognizing them not only as sources of innovation, but as the remedy for our workforce woes, and ultimately, as the regions best insurance policy against economic stasis and decline. It is not an understatement then to suggest that our future hinges on whether thousands of young people will launch their educations, their graduate studies and their careers here in New England. Understanding the importance of college students as a wellspring of our population growth compels us to expand our conception of higher education institutions, recognizing them not only as sources of innovation, but as the remedy for our workforce woes, and ultimately, as the regions best insurance policy against economic stasis and decline.

12 Utah Achievement 12 GradeYearUtah Avg.National Public Avg. Pct. At or above Basic Pct. At or Above Proficient Pct. At Advanced Reading Reading Reading Reading NAEP: Common core of Data, School Year.

13 Utah Achievement 13 GradeYearUtah Avg.National Public Avg. Pct. At or above Basic Pct. At or Above Proficient Pct. At Advanced Math Math Math Math NAEP: Common core of Data, School Year.

14 Utah ACT Scores: % of students ready for college-level course work 14 Nation 2009Utah 2009Nation Changes Utah Changes Number of Students Tested 148,046923,22945% Of 2009 Graduates tested 68% Of 2009 Graduates tested All 4 Scores English67730 Math Reading Science ACT: National and State Scores for 2009

15 AN EDUCATION PLAN FOR UTAH A TIPPING POINT ? AN EDUCATION PLAN FOR UTAH A TIPPING POINT ? 15

16 ELEMENTARY GRADES PRE-SCHOOL PROGRAMS PRE-SCHOOL PROGRAMS FULL-DAY KINDERGARTEN FULL-DAY KINDERGARTEN BETTER ASSESSMENTS FOR MATH AND READING K-6 BETTER ASSESSMENTS FOR MATH AND READING K-6 –K-3 LITERACY PROGRAM –K-6 MATH AND READING 16

17 SECONDARY GRADES STATEWIDE ADOPTION OF ACT EXAMS STATEWIDE ADOPTION OF ACT EXAMS –EXPLORE8 TH GRADE –PLAN10 TH GRADE –ACT11 TH GRADE CLEAR ACADEMIC STANDARDS IN CORE SUBJECTS CLEAR ACADEMIC STANDARDS IN CORE SUBJECTS INCREASE COMPLETION RATES INCREASE COMPLETION RATES PREPARE ALL STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE AND THE WORKPLACE PREPARE ALL STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE AND THE WORKPLACE 17

18 HIGHER EDUCATION IMPROVE RETENTION AND GRADUATION RATES IMPROVE RETENTION AND GRADUATION RATES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVES –USTAR –CLUSTER ACCELERATION –CAREER PATHWAY INITIATIVES FIANCIAL AID REFORM FIANCIAL AID REFORM –NEED BASED AID –FUNDING FOR ACADEMIC INCENTIVE AWARDS NEW CENTURY SCHOLARSHIPS NEW CENTURY SCHOLARSHIPS REGENT SCHOLARSHIPS REGENT SCHOLARSHIPS MATH AND SCIENCE PROGRAMS AVAILABLE YEAR ROUND K-20 MATH AND SCIENCE PROGRAMS AVAILABLE YEAR ROUND K-20 18

19 THEREFORE, THE COUNTRY THAT USES THIS CRISIS [THE GREAT RECESSION] TO MAKE ITS POPULATION SMARTER AND MORE INNNOVATIVE – AND ENDOWS ITS PEOPLE WITH MORE TOOLS AND BASIC RESEARCH TO INVENT NEW GOODS AND SERVICES – IS THE ONE THAT WILL NOT JUST SURVIVE BUT THRIVE DOWN THE ROAD. WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO STIMULATE OUR WAY BACK TO STABILITY, BUT WE CAN ONLY INVENT OUR WAY BACK TO PROSPERITY. WE NEED EVERYONE AT EVERY LEVEL TO GET SMARTER. TOM FRIEDMAN INVENT, INVENT, INVENT New York Times, June 28, 2009 THEREFORE, THE COUNTRY THAT USES THIS CRISIS [THE GREAT RECESSION] TO MAKE ITS POPULATION SMARTER AND MORE INNNOVATIVE – AND ENDOWS ITS PEOPLE WITH MORE TOOLS AND BASIC RESEARCH TO INVENT NEW GOODS AND SERVICES – IS THE ONE THAT WILL NOT JUST SURVIVE BUT THRIVE DOWN THE ROAD. WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO STIMULATE OUR WAY BACK TO STABILITY, BUT WE CAN ONLY INVENT OUR WAY BACK TO PROSPERITY. WE NEED EVERYONE AT EVERY LEVEL TO GET SMARTER. TOM FRIEDMAN INVENT, INVENT, INVENT New York Times, June 28,

20 The Importance of Voice When I travel around the country, meeting with students, business people, and others interested in the economy, I am occasionally asked for investment advice. Usually (though not always) the question is posed in jest. No one really expects me to tell them which three stocks they should buy. However, I know the answer to the question and I will share it with you today: Education is the best investment. When I travel around the country, meeting with students, business people, and others interested in the economy, I am occasionally asked for investment advice. Usually (though not always) the question is posed in jest. No one really expects me to tell them which three stocks they should buy. However, I know the answer to the question and I will share it with you today: Education is the best investment. 20

21 The Importance of Voice You are moving into the most competitive age the world has ever known. All around you is competition. You need all the education you can get. Sacrifice a car; sacrifice anything that is needed to be sacrificed to qualify yourselves to do the work of the world. That world will in large measure pay you what it thinks you are worth, and your worth will increase as you gain education and proficiency in your chosen field. You are moving into the most competitive age the world has ever known. All around you is competition. You need all the education you can get. Sacrifice a car; sacrifice anything that is needed to be sacrificed to qualify yourselves to do the work of the world. That world will in large measure pay you what it thinks you are worth, and your worth will increase as you gain education and proficiency in your chosen field. 21

22 The Importance of Voice I hope you dont mind – I want to go into a little detail here about education. In the 21 st century – when so many jobs will require a bachelors degree or more, when countries that out- educate us today will out-compete us tomorrow – a world-class education is a prerequisite for success. I hope you dont mind – I want to go into a little detail here about education. In the 21 st century – when so many jobs will require a bachelors degree or more, when countries that out- educate us today will out-compete us tomorrow – a world-class education is a prerequisite for success. 22

23 Utah Education Policy Center 23 Bridging Research, Policy, and Practice 1705 Campus Center Drive, Rm 339 Salt Lake City, Utah /


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