Presentation on theme: "CHAPTER 7 BASICS OF PORTFOLIO PLANNING AND CONSTRUCTION Presenter Venue Date."— Presentation transcript:
CHAPTER 7 BASICS OF PORTFOLIO PLANNING AND CONSTRUCTION Presenter Venue Date
REASONS FOR A WRITTEN INVESTMENT POLICY STATEMENT (IPS) IPS Suitability of an Investment Legal or Regulatory Requirements Governance Arrangements
MAJOR COMPONENTS OF AN IPS IntroductionStatement of Purpose Statement of Duties and Responsibilities ProceduresInvestment ObjectivesInvestment GuidelinesEvaluation and ReviewAppendices
WHAT ARE THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF RISK OBJECTIVES? Risk Objectives Absolute: Stated without context The 12-month 95% value at risk (VAR) of the portfolio must not be more than ¥1 billion. Relative: A comparison Achieving a return within 4% of the TOPIX return approximately 95% of the time.
HOW DOES THE WILLINGNESS TO TAKE RISK DIFFER FROM THE ABILITY TO BEAR RISK? Risk Tolerance Willingness to Take Risk Ability to Bear Risk Time horizon? Expected income? Wealth relative to liabilities? Personality type? Self-esteem? Inclination for independent thinking?
EXHIBIT 7-1 MEASURING THE WILLINGNESS TO TAKE RISK 1.Investing is too difficult to understand. 2.I am more comfortable putting my money in a bank account than in the stock market. 3.When I think of the word risk, the term loss comes to mind immediately. 4.Making money in stocks and bonds is based on luck. 5.In terms of investing, safety is more important than returns. Possible responses for all five questions: (A) Strongly agree, (B) Tend to agree, (C) Tend to disagree, and (D) Strongly disagree. Source: Grable and Joo (2004).
EXAMPLE 7-2 THE CASE OF HENRI GASCON: RISK TOLERANCE Henri Gascon is an energy trader who works for a major French oil company based in Paris. He is 30 years old and married with one son, aged 5. Gascon has decided that it is time to review his financial situation and consults a financial adviser. The financial adviser notes the following aspects of Gascons situation: Gascons annual salary of 250,000 is more than sufficient to cover the familys outgoings. Gascon owns his apartment outright and has 1,000,000 of savings. Gascon perceives that his job is reasonably secure.
EXAMPLE 7-2 THE CASE OF HENRI GASCON: RISK TOLERANCE (CONTINUED) Gascon has a good knowledge of financial matters and is confident that equity markets will deliver positive returns over the longer term. In the risk tolerance questionnaire, Gascon strongly disagrees with the statements that making money in stocks and bonds is based on luck and that in terms of investing, safety is more important than returns. Gascon expects that most of his savings will be used to fund his retirement, which he hopes to start at age 50.
HENRI GASCONS TOLERANCE FOR RISK Risk Tolerance Willingness to Take Risk Ability to Bear Risk Secure job High income relative to expenses Significant assets Time horizon of 20 years Knowledgeable about financial markets Answers to survey suggest risk tolerance
WHAT ARE THE IMPORTANT CONSIDERATIONS WHEN SETTING RETURN OBJECTIVES? Return Objectives Absolute or Relative? Nominal, Real, or Required? Realistic?
EXAMPLE 7-4 THE CASE OF HENRI GASCON: RETURN OBJECTIVES Having assessed his risk tolerance, Henri Gascon now begins to discuss his retirement income needs with the financial adviser. He wishes to retire at age 50, which is 20 years from now. His salary meets current and expected future expenditure requirements, but he does not expect to be able to make any additional pension contributions to his fund. Gascon sets aside 100,000 of his savings as an emergency fund to be held in cash. The remaining 900,000 is to be invested for his retirement.
EXAMPLE 7-4 THE CASE OF HENRI GASCON: RETURN OBJECTIVES (CONTINUED) Gascon estimates that a before-tax amount of 2,000,000 in todays money will be sufficient to fund his retirement income needs. The financial adviser expects inflation to average 2% per year over the next 20 years. Pension fund contributions and pension fund returns in France are exempt from tax, but pension fund distributions are taxable upon retirement.
WHAT IS HENRI GASCONS RETURN OBJECTIVE? Gascons retirement needs: 2,000,000 × ( ) 20 = 2,971,895 Gascons return objective: 900,000 × (1 + x) 20 = 2,971,895 x 6.20%
CONSTRAINTS ON PORTFOLIO SELECTION Unique Circumstances Legal and Regulatory Factors Tax Concerns Time Horizon Liquidity Portfolio Selection
HOW DOES THE NEED FOR LIQUIDITY AFFECT SAMPO GROUPS INVESTMENTS? Allocation of Investment Assets, Sampo Group 31 December 2008 (16,502 million) Fixed-Income Investments by Type of Instrument, Sampo Group 31 December 2008 (13,214 million) Breakdown of fixed-income investments
HOW THE INVESTORS TIME HORIZON AFFECTS PORTFOLIO ASSET SELECTION Investors Time Horizon Need for Liquidity Ability to Take Risk Portfolio Asset Selection
TAX CONCERNS AND LEGAL AND REGULATORY FACTORS Tax Concerns Investors tax status Tax rates: income and capital gains Legal and Regulatory Factors Legal restrictions on portfolio composition Limits on the use of material nonpublic information
UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES Unique Circumstances Ethical Values Religious Beliefs Personal Preferences
EXAMPLE 7-7 HENRI GASCON: DESCRIPTION OF CONSTRAINTS Gascon expects that he will continue to work for the oil company and that his relatively high income will continue for the foreseeable future. Gascon and his wife do not plan to have any additional children, but expect that their son will go to a university at age 18. They expect that their sons education costs can be met out of their salary income.
EXAMPLE 7-7 HENRI GASCON: DESCRIPTION OF CONSTRAINTS (CONTINUED) Gascons emergency reserve of 100,000 is considered to be sufficient as a reserve for unforeseen expenditures and emergencies. His retirement savings of 900,000 has been contributed to his defined contribution pension plan account to fund his retirement. Under French regulation, pension fund contributions are paid from gross income (i.e., income prior to deduction of tax) and pension fund returns are exempt from tax, but pension payments from a fund to retirees are taxed as income to the retiree.
WHAT ARE THE CONSTRAINTS ON HENRI GASCONS RETIREMENT PORTFOLIO? Liquidity: No need for liquidity. Time Horizon: Approximately 20 years. Tax Concerns: Portfolio is tax exempt. Legal and Regulatory Factors: French pension fund regulations. Unique Circumstances: No significant exposure to oil and other commodity stocks.
HOW ARE PORTFOLIOS CONSTRUCTED? Tactical Asset Allocation or Security Selection Strategic Asset Allocation Capital Market Expectations for Each Asset Class Investment Policy Statement (IPS)
QUANTIFYING CAPITAL MARKET EXPECTATIONS Correlation with Other Asset Classes Standard Deviation Expected Return
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION (SAA) Cash Equities Bonds Real Estate Alternative Investments Strategic asset allocation (SAA) is a means to providing the investor with exposure to the systematic risks of asset classes in proportions consistent with the IPS.
DEFINING AN ASSET CLASS BondsGovernmentDomesticForeignCorporate Investment Grade High Yield Are all of these specifications necessary?
EXAMPLE 7-9 SPECIFYING ASSET CLASSES Asset class correlation matrix: High-paired correlations between equity asset classes suggest that defining equity asset classes narrowly has limited value. The case for treatment as a separate asset class can best be made for emerging market stocks.
STEPS TOWARD AN ACTUAL PORTFOLIO Overall Portfolio Risk Strategic Asset Allocation Tactical Asset Allocation Security Selection Risk Budgeting
TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION AND SECURITY SELECTION Strategic Asset Allocation Tactical Asset Allocation Security Selection Nonsystematic risk factors Systematic risk factors Market return: passive investing or indexing Excess return or alpha: active investing
CAN SECURITY SELECTION ADD VALUE? Value Added by Security Selection Value Lost by Security Selection Zero At the macro level, security selection is a zero-sum game. What factors affect the ability to add value via security selection?
REBALANCING POLICY Policy Portfolio Weights Returns on Asset Classes and Securities Weights Deviate from Policy Portfolio Rebalanced to Policy Weights
EXAMPLE 7-12 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION FOR A EUROPEAN CHARITY Key factors affecting rebalancing: Ending weight of European equities. Expectations regarding future asset class returns.
SUMMARY Components of the IPS Risk and return objectives Determinants of risk tolerance Investment constraints Risk budgeting Strategic asset allocation Tactical asset allocation and security selection Rebalancing policy