Presentation on theme: "Chapter 4: Demand for Labor in Short Run Demand for labor: level of employment (L) desired by business firms. Topics: –Factors that determine a firm’s."— Presentation transcript:
Chapter 4: Demand for Labor in Short Run Demand for labor: level of employment (L) desired by business firms. Topics: –Factors that determine a firm’s optimal level of employment; –How this optimal level responds to changes in wages, cost of capital, firm’s sales, and technology changes. Short run (SR): time period when capital (K) is fixed. Long Run: all inputs variable.
Pattern of Employment Over Time See Figure 4.1. Level of employment reflects demand for labor. Three important features: 1) Huge # jobs: –1950: 60 million; –2001: 156 million. 2) composition of jobs: – Agriculture; –big growth service and government (now 80% of jobs). 3) cyclical variation in # jobs. –10 recessions between 1950 and 2002.
Marginal Productivity Theory of Demand Simplifying assumptions: 1) firm’s goal is to maximize $ profits 2) Two factors of production (K and L). 3) Both input and output markets are perfectly competitive, or PC (wages and prices treated as fixed). 4) Wages are only cost of labor and labor is homogeneous.
Firm’s Hiring Decision in the Short Run (SR) Now K fixed; only L variable. Rule: Hire another worker as long as the worker adds at least $1 to profits. Or: hire another worker as long as the cost of that worker (his wage) is less than or equal to the value of that worker’s extra output.
New Terms Production Function: shows how inputs can be combined to produce output, given a specific state of technology. Q = F(K, L) –Q = output –K = capital –L = labor SR: Firm can only Q by L. TP = total product = Q TP L = TP at each amount of L (with K fixed).
More Terms Marginal product of labor: MP L = Q/ L. Average product of labor: AP L = Q/L. Total revenue = TR = P * Q. Marginal revenue = MR = TR/ Q; where MR = P. See each unit of Q sold at same market price. Marginal revenue product of labor: MRP L = MP L * MR. Marginal cost of labor: MC L = wage.
Firm’s Equilibrium Level of Employment Rule: keep hiring one more worker until worker’s marginal benefit (value of extra output) equals that worker’s marginal cost (wage). General Rule: W = MR * MP L = MRP L With PC assumption: P = MR. So: W = P * MP L or W/P = MP L See Table 4.1 and Figure 4.2.
To Note About Figure 4.2 MP L = slope of tangent line at specific amount of L. AP L = slope of line from origin to the point on the TP associated with specific amount of L. Relate shape of TP L to MP L : as long as TP L getting steeper, MP L is going up. (Relate point A to point L 1 ) Note that MP L hits AP L from above, at max point of AP L Law of Diminishing Returns: With K fixed: at some point, MP L declines ( L will Q at decreasing rate).
Back to Table 4.1 Impose the optimal hiring rule: 5 th worker: –MRP L = 60 but W = only 40 yes hire 5 th worker. 6 th worker: –MRP L = 40 and W = 40 yes hire 6 th worker. 7 th worker: –MRP L = 8 but W = 40 NO hire the 7 th worker. So it is optimal to hire 6 workers.
Firm’s SR Demand Curve for Labor Shows relationship between wage rate and firm’s desired employment level holding all other relevant factors (including other inputs) fixed (like K). Firm’s SR demand curve for labor IS the downward portion of the MRP L curve. Ignore upward sloped portion because at any price or wage, firm will hire as much labor as possible.
Demand for Labor Curve Two points to Stress: 1) A change in the wage causes movement along a given D L curve. 2) A change in a ceteris paribus factor (e.g., capital price or utilization, product demand) will cause a shift in the entire D L curve.
Effect of Product Demand on D L Key: product demand is D curve in output market; remember S and D curves for output, with intersection yielding P*. With product demand, this is shift to right of D curve, causing P* to go up. Back to firm: – MRP L = MR * MP L where P=MR. –So P MRP L (shift to right)
Imperfect Competition in Product Market Key: with perfect competition, price always equals MR (and both same for any Q). Like saying that firm faces horizontal D curve and can sell at it wants to at P*. If product market is not competitive: firm faces downward sloping product demand curve, so if Q, P. So, MR P and more steep. So this D L curve: –1) lies to left of original D L. –2) it is steeper.
Example Key: With imperfect competition: firm faces downward sloped product demand curve, so to Q, must P. Q = 10 when P = $10 So TR = P*Q = 10 * 10 = $100 Now Q = 12 and P = $9, so TR = 12 * 9 = $108. MR = TR/ Q = 8/2 = 4. MR = 4 but P = 9.
Derivation of Market D L Curve Start by defining market (e.g., by geographical area or by industry). Two factors: –1) Total market D L curve is sum of each individual firm’s D L curve. –2) If all firms experience a W so their D L, this makes market S curve for output shift right, pushing down market P; so MRP L for each firm must be redrawn.
Effect of Wage 1) If wage change only affects one firm, causing movement along given D L curve. 2) If wage change affects every firm in the industry, then it will also affect market price and so each firm will have entirely new D L curve (because this curve is the MRP L curve, which equals P * MP L under p.c.).
Criticisms of Standard D L Theory Starting Point: The theory does yield fairly good predictions of firm’s optimal level of employment and how optimal level will in response to economic events. Five Criticisms of D L Theory –1. Limits to human cognition: requires too much knowledge and rejected by firm case studies. –2. Non-maximizing behavior (ownership vs management)
Continue with Criticisms –3) Fixed K/L proportions –4) Increasing returns to L (perhaps MP L varies across business cycle). –5) Interdependence between wage and worker productivity. –Overall: real world data support basic features of standard model.
Exercise Textbook pg. 216, #1: Use the marginal productivity theory of L D to predict the impact on the firm’s employment level of the following events (explain; graph). –A) in wage rate. –B) demand for firm’s product. –C) lower tariff on imported goods –D) conversion of firm from perfectly competitive firm to non- competitive firm.
Elasticity of D L Elasticity of D L measures responsiveness of labor demand to changes in the wage rate. E D = % L / % W 0 Note: % L = L/L % W = W/W E D = ( L/L) / ( W/W) = ( L/ W) * W/L E D = (1/ slope of D L ) * W/L
Five Cases of E D 1) E D = 0: W causes no L –Perfectly inelastic –vertical demand curve 2) E D 1 : % W % L –D L not very responsive to wage. –Inelastic –Steep D L curve 3) E D = 1 : % W = % L –Unit Elastic
More Cases of E D 4) E D 1 – D L very responsive to wage es – % L % W – Elastic – Relatively flat D L curve 5) E D = - Firm willing to hire any # workers at prevailing market wage but none at any higher wage. –Perfectly elastic –Horizontal (flat) D L curve See Figure 4.6.
Elasticity Along a Single D L Curve One relatively flat D L curve is relatively more elastic than a steeper curve, but for all straight line D L curves, there is an elastic portion and an inelastic portion. Recall 2 nd part of E D is W/L. As move down D L curve to right, W while L , so W/L and so E D is too. –Starts elastic and becomes inelastic. See Figure 4.7.
Relationship Between E D and Total Expenditures on Labor Total expenditures on labor is called the firm’s wage bill. Wage bill = W * L. Question: When have W, how will wage bill ? Answer: Compare % W to % L ( W always L; issue is by how much?) 1) Inelastic: % W % L –So W leads to wage bill. 2) Elastic: % W % L –So W leads to wage bill.
Example Example 1: Wage from $8 to $7 % Wage change = -12.5% Employment from 20 to 30 % Employment change = 50% E D = 50 /-12.5 = - 4 –Very elastic or responsive Example 2 Wage 50% and L 12.5% E D = 12.5 / 50 = 0.25 –Inelastic (not very responsive)
What Determines E D ? Ease of substitutability: –1) Between K and L –2) Between this good and other goods. Evidence from data: –1) data show D L curve slopes down. –2) D L curve relatively inelastic. –3) E D is greater for unskilled and blue-collar workers than skilled and white-collar workers (due to greater subst K/L for former).
Relationship Between D L and Product Demand * D L is a derived demand. 1) D L over business cycle – hrs or # workers? 2) D L and consumer expenditure patterns (relates to es in preferences and es in income) 3) Impact of imports on domestic employment (key: substitutes versus complement goods). –NAFTA: North American Free Trade Agreement: winners versus losers.
Squeeze on Middle Class Jobs Trend in 1980s and 1990s: net job loss in mid-level jobs. –Banking: middle management –Manufacturing: high wage union jobs.
Wage Subsidy Programs Designed to encourage employers to hire the hard-core (longterm) unemployed. The subsidy will cost to firm of hiring this type of worker (makes them relatively less expensive). Standard program design: –1. Categorical eligibility –2. Only covers new hires –3. Covers workers with w w t –4. Subsidy is some % of difference between actual w and w t ; –Subsidy = r(w t – w a ) –5. Subsidy usually temporary.
Effects of Subsidy Program Good effects: –1) employment of target group; –2) gives largest subsidy to hardest to employ (since their wages are lowest); –3) as hard-to-employ take jobs and gain experience, their wages rise so subsidy cost falls. Bad effects: –1) employer might replace some current workers with new (covered) workers; –2) employer might keep subsidized worker for the temporary period then layoff and hire NEW covered worker. –3) subsidy eligibility can be a stigma.
Union Wage Concessions Issue: Why unions might accept wage cuts? To preserve employment! Labor demand theory suggests: union wage concessions most likely to occur in industries that face a relatively elastic D L and are experiencing falling output so shifts leftward in D L. Data support this theoretical implication.
Exercise: E D Start: W = $10 and L = 80. Now: W = $20 and L = Calculate E D. 2. Calculate original and new total wage bill. 3. Relate the change in total wage bill to the calculated E D