Presentation on theme: "THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS."— Presentation transcript:
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.
We meet every Sunday at 7:15PM – 8:15PM at W151 in PBB Membership Dues: $20/semester Food/Drinks every meeting Investment information and education Great trading tips and strategies Investment Competition: $15/semester Best way to gain experience and learn Past prizes include iPads, Apple TVs, gift cards Fun Discussion atmosphere, member involvement
$15 to enter competition All money goes to prizes so more people = better prizes Must attend 50% of meetings in order to be eligible for prizes Top 8 get prizes (tentatively) Won’t allow high frequency trading or anything that is unrealistic
16 days long 800,000 furloughed workers Debt ceiling was going to be breached on Oct. 17 Deal passed early Thursday morning
Government will be funded until Jan. 15 2014 Extended $16.7 trillion debt ceiling until Feb. 7 th Includes back pay for furloughed workers Obamacare now has to define income standards
Senate voted 81 to 18 on Wednesday Sent to House which voted 285 to 144 President Obama signed bill early Thursday morning
"There is a lot of work ahead of us, including our need to earn back the trust of the American people that has been lost over the last few weeks" - President Obama "The sad truth is, we ended up where we started" said Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) "This is a terrible deal," Ted Cruz said, "This deal embodies everything about the Washington establishment that frustrates the American people."
Estimated loss of $24 billion in economic activty S&P cut 4 th quarter GDP growth projections by at least 0.6 percentage point ~ 2% from ~ 3%
The moment Google topped $1,000 per share Fri 18 Oct 13 | 10:00 AM ET
3 rd quarter revenue was $11.92 billion beating estimates of $11.64 billion (+$28,000,000) Profit per share was $10.74 beating the estimates of $10.36 Market cap of $337.97 billion
Quarterly revenue up 23% Big push in mobile and video advertising Of YouTube revenue, 40% comes from mobile Expanded 22% from last quarter, was up 18% in the previous quarter Owned 31% of the global advertising market last year, up to 33% this year Net Income jumped 36% to $2.97 billion y/y
Ad prices are falling so Google is relying on more volume (clicks) to keep profits high Working with rivals (ex. Facebook) to increase ad space
Had IPO in 2004, for $85/share Has had positive return each year except for 2008 and 2010 Was down 56% in 2008 Up 101% in 2009
“Google has a lot of things going for it,” said Sameet Sinha, an analyst at B. Riley & Co, “Google has its fingers in every pie.” Is Google getting too big? Products include: Search tools, Advertising services, Communication and publishing tools, Development tools
Products include: Search tools Google search, Books, Scholar, News, History Advertising services AdMob, AdSense, DoubleClick, Google Grants Communication and publishing tools Google Apps, Docs, Drive, Hangouts, Google+, YouTube, Speak to Tweet Development tools Google App Engine, Code, Go, Open Social
Map Related products Google Maps Maker, Maps, Mars, Moon, Sky Statistical Tools Operating Systems Android, Chrome OS, Google TV Desktop Apps Chrome, Earth, Toolbar, Android Studio Mobile Apps Hardware (Phones)
Is Google a monopoly? Where will the price go? $500 or $1,500?
Buying into star athletes Fri 18 Oct 13 | 5:30 PM ET
Over past four years, 73% of companies had EPS beat estimate Over past year, 70% beat estimate 69% have beat estimate for Q3 2013 so far http://www.factset.com/websitefiles/PDFs/earn ingsinsight/earningsinsight_10.18.13
Best earnings season I can recall in years: Cramer
Market keeps climbing even with big uncertainties (interest rates, shutdown, debt ceiling) Huge earnings in EVERY sector Cramer: Bullish on next week’s earnings, looking for strong jobs report to dent prices, make stocks cheaper
Netflix – subscriber growth is key 1.5 million U.S., 1.25 million overseas Du Pont – look for split Variety of things that move the price Revenue growth, outlook, conference calls
Net Income rose 20% to $2.27 a share but missed estimates of $2.29. Revenue advanced 18% to $700.5 but missed the $703.7 expectations. Expecting higher meat and dairy costs next year after U.S. drought hurt corn crop and drove up prices. Same store sales growth flat. Facing more competition from Taco Bell after their higher end Cantina Bell menu. Stock down 13% after earnings release!
Debate: Is Chipotle losing market share to Taco bell and is the growth story over?
ARG – accelerated revenue growth Cramer: ARG is a powerful catalyst, same catalyst that drove Google over $1000 Expected lift in prices Raised its forecast for a key revenue figure later this year Best-in-class operational initiatives Found its niche in upscale fast food Low ad spending Fast transaction speed Same store sales up, revenue tops expectations
Johnson & Johnson – Strong growth for prescription drugs Coca-Cola – Revenue up, operating income up, outlook unchanged Yahoo – EPS and revenue look good, outlook disappoints Bank of America – EPS and revenue beat expectations, record deposits
Obamacare “This is the greatest opportunity I’ve seen in my lifetime. It’s the first time we are seeing really fundamental changes happen. And there’s a lot of money that can be made as this chaos is sorted out.” – Lisa Suennen, co- founder of Psilos Group, a health-care focused venture capital firm
The Affordable Care Act Expands coverage to an estimated 32 million uninsured Americans Government-run exchanges Similar to websites that sell hotel rooms or airline tickets Many will find health care online via private exchanges
Principal lines of business are risk management and human resource consulting Acquired Extend Health https://www.extendhealth.com/
Data Collection Help companies decide whether or not to develop online exchanges Help employers choose the options right for them Consumerization of health Ex: Financial services companies who help simplify companies’ billing processes
Into the Futures: Trading this week’s earnings Fri 18 Oct 13 | 5:07 AM ET