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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.

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Presentation on theme: "THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS."— Presentation transcript:

1 THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

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3  We meet every Sunday at 7:15PM – 8:15PM at W151 in PBB  Membership Dues: $20/semester  Food/Drinks every meeting  Investment information and education  Great trading tips and strategies  Investment Competition: $15/semester  Best way to gain experience and learn  Past prizes include iPads, Apple TVs, gift cards  Fun Discussion atmosphere, member involvement

4  $15 to enter competition  All money goes to prizes so more people = better prizes  Must attend 50% of meetings in order to be eligible for prizes  Top 8 get prizes (tentatively)  Won’t allow high frequency trading or anything that is unrealistic

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9 Pisani's market close: New highs across board Fri 18 Oct 13 | 4:00 PM ET

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12  16 days long  800,000 furloughed workers  Debt ceiling was going to be breached on Oct. 17  Deal passed early Thursday morning

13  Government will be funded until Jan  Extended $16.7 trillion debt ceiling until Feb. 7 th  Includes back pay for furloughed workers  Obamacare now has to define income standards

14  Senate voted 81 to 18 on Wednesday  Sent to House which voted 285 to 144  President Obama signed bill early Thursday morning

15  "There is a lot of work ahead of us, including our need to earn back the trust of the American people that has been lost over the last few weeks" - President Obama  "The sad truth is, we ended up where we started" said Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.)  "This is a terrible deal," Ted Cruz said, "This deal embodies everything about the Washington establishment that frustrates the American people."

16  Estimated loss of $24 billion in economic activty  S&P cut 4 th quarter GDP growth projections by at least 0.6 percentage point  ~ 2% from ~ 3%

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18  First ever reporter to report live from the floor of the NYSE  Hosts “Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo”

19 Maria’s Observation: My 20 th year at CNBC Fri 18 Oct 13 | 4:57 PM ET

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21 The moment Google topped $1,000 per share Fri 18 Oct 13 | 10:00 AM ET

22  3 rd quarter revenue was $11.92 billion beating estimates of $11.64 billion (+$28,000,000)  Profit per share was $10.74 beating the estimates of $10.36  Market cap of $ billion

23  Quarterly revenue up 23%  Big push in mobile and video advertising  Of YouTube revenue, 40% comes from mobile  Expanded 22% from last quarter, was up 18% in the previous quarter  Owned 31% of the global advertising market last year, up to 33% this year  Net Income jumped 36% to $2.97 billion y/y

24  Ad prices are falling so Google is relying on more volume (clicks) to keep profits high  Working with rivals (ex. Facebook) to increase ad space

25  Had IPO in 2004, for $85/share  Has had positive return each year except for 2008 and 2010  Was down 56% in 2008  Up 101% in 2009

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27  “Google has a lot of things going for it,” said Sameet Sinha, an analyst at B. Riley & Co, “Google has its fingers in every pie.”  Is Google getting too big?  Products include: Search tools, Advertising services, Communication and publishing tools, Development tools

28  Products include:  Search tools  Google search, Books, Scholar, News, History  Advertising services  AdMob, AdSense, DoubleClick, Google Grants  Communication and publishing tools  Google Apps, Docs, Drive, Hangouts, Google+, YouTube, Speak to Tweet  Development tools  Google App Engine, Code, Go, Open Social

29  Map Related products  Google Maps Maker, Maps, Mars, Moon, Sky  Statistical Tools  Operating Systems  Android, Chrome OS, Google TV  Desktop Apps  Chrome, Earth, Toolbar, Android Studio  Mobile Apps  Hardware (Phones)

30  Is Google a monopoly?  Where will the price go?  $500 or $1,500?

31 Buying into star athletes Fri 18 Oct 13 | 5:30 PM ET

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34 Marc Faber: Earnings a bigger worry than Washington

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36  Over past four years, 73% of companies had EPS beat estimate  Over past year, 70% beat estimate  69% have beat estimate for Q so far ingsinsight/earningsinsight_

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42 Best earnings season I can recall in years: Cramer

43  Market keeps climbing even with big uncertainties (interest rates, shutdown, debt ceiling)  Huge earnings in EVERY sector  Cramer: Bullish on next week’s earnings, looking for strong jobs report to dent prices, make stocks cheaper

44  Netflix – subscriber growth is key  1.5 million U.S., 1.25 million overseas  Du Pont – look for split  Variety of things that move the price  Revenue growth, outlook, conference calls

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46  Net Income rose 20% to $2.27 a share but missed estimates of $2.29.  Revenue advanced 18% to $700.5 but missed the $703.7 expectations.  Expecting higher meat and dairy costs next year after U.S. drought hurt corn crop and drove up prices.  Same store sales growth flat.  Facing more competition from Taco Bell after their higher end Cantina Bell menu.  Stock down 13% after earnings release!

47 Debate: Is Chipotle losing market share to Taco bell and is the growth story over?

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49 Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) Negative$2.66$ %  EPS miss (again)  Revenue up 18% (again)  Rising food prices (again)  What’s different?

50  ARG – accelerated revenue growth  Cramer: ARG is a powerful catalyst, same catalyst that drove Google over $1000  Expected lift in prices  Raised its forecast for a key revenue figure later this year  Best-in-class operational initiatives  Found its niche in upscale fast food  Low ad spending  Fast transaction speed  Same store sales up, revenue tops expectations

51  Johnson & Johnson – Strong growth for prescription drugs  Coca-Cola – Revenue up, operating income up, outlook unchanged  Yahoo – EPS and revenue look good, outlook disappoints  Bank of America – EPS and revenue beat expectations, record deposits

52  Obamacare  “This is the greatest opportunity I’ve seen in my lifetime. It’s the first time we are seeing really fundamental changes happen. And there’s a lot of money that can be made as this chaos is sorted out.” – Lisa Suennen, co- founder of Psilos Group, a health-care focused venture capital firm

53  The Affordable Care Act  Expands coverage to an estimated 32 million uninsured Americans  Government-run exchanges  Similar to websites that sell hotel rooms or airline tickets  Many will find health care online via private exchanges

54  Up 94% in six months!

55  The nation’s first and largest private health insurance exchange  Greatly benefiting from the federal mandate

56  Up 57% in six months

57  Principal lines of business are risk management and human resource consulting  Acquired Extend Health https://www.extendhealth.com/

58  Data Collection  Help companies decide whether or not to develop online exchanges  Help employers choose the options right for them  Consumerization of health  Ex: Financial services companies who help simplify companies’ billing processes

59 Into the Futures: Trading this week’s earnings Fri 18 Oct 13 | 5:07 AM ET

60  Revenue, outlook, retail sales

61  September jobs report delayed by shutdown comes out Tuesday  Earnings Galore  McDonalds, Microsoft, Amazon, Caterpillar, Boeing  Underlying trend is still positive, but outlook is very murky


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