Presentation on theme: "6th Meeting of CoDGs 30 Nov. – 2 Dec. 2012 Yamoussoukro, Côte dIvoire SHaSA STG1 on Governance, Peace and Security (GPS) Statistics Progress Report."— Presentation transcript:
6th Meeting of CoDGs 30 Nov. – 2 Dec. 2012 Yamoussoukro, Côte dIvoire SHaSA STG1 on Governance, Peace and Security (GPS) Statistics Progress Report
Background & Proposal GPS data as key theme in global measurement initiatives Measuring progress of society, AU commitments, etc. Need for Africa sensitive GPS data planning, monitoring policies, early warning, voice Current situation Lack of country level data Proliferation of international indices But governance data=public good (national sovereignty) Proposal Harmonize and institutionalize GPS statistics under NSOs coordination (with dedicated GPS units within NSOs)
Why NSOs? public institution official legitimacy expertise in the statistical field established standards and procedures large sample permit disaggregation ensure sustainability of data collection cost-effectiveness of add-on modules instances of experience in GPS statistics (examples)
Example 1: Benin Ordinary Citizens Perception of public administration dysfunctionings (%) Ordinary Citizens Trust in institutions (%) Sources: EMICoV Surveys, National, 2006-2011, INSAE.
Example 3: Kenya Selected crime statistics from administrative sources (2007-2011) Sources: Kenya Police Department, Compiled by NSO. Number Crimes 1 20072008200920102011* Homicide 1,9122,0372,2142,2392,641 Offences against morality 3,6733,1164,0684,8174,703 Other offences against persons 17,8311649620,53920,01220,144 Robbery 3,4923,4012,9382,8433,262 Breakings 6,3376,6267,0536,4537,325 Theft of stock 1,5682,2692,8762,2442,269 Stealing 10,74911,43511,97211,98613,797... Sub –Total 63,02863,47672,25570,77975,733
Example 2: Madagascar Incidence of petty corruption experience, political and economic conditions Sources: Governance modules, 1-2-3 Surveys, Antananarivo, 1995-2006, INSTAT.
STG1 on GPS statistics Membership Co-chairs: AUC & Kenya 16 countries Core expert group (selected NSOs, Afrobarometer, DIAL, Mo Ibrahim, UNDP) Milestones to date April 2012, Nairobi: STG1 launched September 2012, Dakar: stakeholder consultation and 1 st cut of methodology November 2012, Yam: consolidation (methodology & action plan)
Approach Policy frameworks - AU Charter on Democracy, Elections & Governance - AU Protocol on the Establishment of the Peace & Security Council - African Charter on Statistics, SHaSA Priority Themes and Work Program 4 instruments Indicators - Factual and attitudinal - Core set + country-specific Users - Continental (APRM, Early warning systems, African Governance Platform) - Regional (RECs) - National (plans, post MDG, governance strategies, conflict prevention...) Add-on Governance module on regular HH surveys Add-on Peace & Security module on regular HH surveys Administrative instrument on GovernanceAdministrative instrument on Peace & Security
Progress to date HH survey module on Governance Ready for piloting (1 page core questionnaire, sampling frame) HH survey module1st on Peace & Security Ready for piloting (1 page core questionnaire, sampling frame) Administrative instrument on Governance Work in progress (first draft ready) Administrative instrument on Peace & Security Work in progress (first draft ready)
Action Plan: Roadmap (2013-4) Strategic ThemesActivities (Phase 1) 1. Produce quality statistics for Africa 5 country pilots (household survey + admin) 2. Coordinate production - Creation of dedicated GPS units in NSOs - Creation of dedicated GPS units in RECs - Creation of dedicated GPS units in AUC 3. Develop sustain-able capacity - Training of NSOs in administration, processing & analysis of HH module & admin instrument - Training of Ministries/Agencies (admin data) 4. Promote evidence-based culture - Advocacy towards political leadership - Wide dissemination of results (Goverment, MPs, Civil Society, Academia, Media)
Action Plan: Roadmap (2015-7) Second phase (2015-2016) Extension to 10 further countries Capacity building Development of regional networks Consolidation, refinement, dissemination and advocacy for 1 st phase countries Third phase (2017) Extension to 15 further countries Institutionalization and sustainability International exchange and comparison
Action Plan: Tentative Budget US $ SHaSA Strategic theme STG#1 broad objectives Phase 1: 2013-4 Total over 2013-17 1. Produce quality statistics for Africa Collection, analysis of survey and admin. data on GPS (5, plus 10, plus 15 countries) 500,0003,800,000 2. Coordinate production Establishment and activities of GPS units in NSOs, RECs and AU Statistics Division, and STG#1 725,0003,350,000 3. Develop sustain- able capacity Infrastructure and capacity building in GPS units in country NSOs, RECs and AU Stats Division 279,0002,100,000 4. Promote evidence-based culture Outreach for GPS to Africa mechanisms (APRM, AGP, etc.), and country stake- holders (MPs, media, CSOs, academia) 96,000750,000 Totals 1,600,00010,000,000
Recommendations Adoption of the Approach 5 country pilots: expression of interest Establishment of GPS Units in NSOs and in the AU Statistics Division
Conclusion Rapid progress of STG1 Expected delivery on time (concrete results in 2013) Comprehensive and flexible approach Africa as a world pioneer - South-South cooperation - South to North transfers