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Earlier treatment and lower mortality in infants Initiating ART at <12 weeks of age in South Africa, 2006-2016 Victoria Iyun, Karl Technau, Brian Eley,

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Presentation on theme: "Earlier treatment and lower mortality in infants Initiating ART at <12 weeks of age in South Africa, 2006-2016 Victoria Iyun, Karl Technau, Brian Eley,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Earlier treatment and lower mortality in infants Initiating ART at <12 weeks of age in South Africa, Victoria Iyun, Karl Technau, Brian Eley, Helena Rabie, Andrew Boulle, Geoff Fatti, Frank Tanser, Robin Wood, Lee Fairlie, Mary-Ann Davies 9th IAS Conference on HIV Science Paris, July Support for this study was provided by the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development through the International epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS, Southern Africa (IeDEA-SA), grant number U01AI069924

2 Conflicts of interest None to declare.

3 Background Expansion of universal ART for HIV-infected infants under 5 years - WHO recommendations in 2008 (<1 year), 2010 (<2 years) and 2013 (< 5 years) Shift towards early infant diagnosis (EID) & early infant antiretroviral therapy (EIART) more recent (2015) shift towards birth early infant diagnosis (EID) of HIV in South Africa. Little is known of the outcomes of EIART cohorts initiating ART In routine care, resource limited settings - in the era of widespread PMTCT and ART Objective: Describe temporal trends in characteristics of infants at ART initiation and outcomes by 6 months on ART Outcomes: Mortality and loss to follow-up (LTFU) by 6 months on ART LTFU: No clinic visit between months from ART start – date of LTFU = last visit date plus 3 months. No follow-up after ART initiation & Loss to follow-up after subsequent visit

4 Methods Median time from ART initiation to death and LTFU at 6 months after ART initiation was estimated Kaplan-Meier method. Associations between characteristics at ART start and mortality was assessed Cox Proportional Hazards models stratified by site. Characteristics and outcomes were described using three guideline periods; , and >2013, to capture the context of changing paediatric HIV testing and treatment guidelines in South Africa.

5 Table 1: Population characteristics at ART initiation
(n=411) (n=470) ≥ 2013 (n=499) Overall (N=1380) Age in days 61 (46-75) 60 (39-76) 34 (1-66) 56 (27-73) Female 208 (50.6) 289 (61.5) 257 (51.5) 754 (54.6) Absolute CD4 (cells/µL) 888 ( ) 1271 ( ) 1526 ( ) 1217 ( ) Log viral load (copies/ml) 5.90 ( ) 6.0 ( ) 5.4 ( ) 5.86 ( ) WHO stage 3 or 4 250 (83.6) 153 (53.3) 109 (39.0) 512 (59.2) WAZ ≤ -2 173 (70.0) 116 (54.5) 79 (40.9) 368 (56.4) Proportions are shown as n (%). Continuous variables are reported as median (interquartile range).

6 Mortality and LTFU at 6 months on ART
>2013 >2013 Overall ≥ 2013 Log rank test Mortality 78 (5.7%) 40 (9.7%) 19 (4.0%) 19 (4.8%) <0.001 Among those LTFU, 72% had no follow up after ART while 28% were LTFU after at least one subsequent visit on ART. Loss to follow-up 225 (17.6%) 92 (22.4%) 76 (16.2%) 57 (14.4%) 0.004 P=

7 Table 2: Predictors of mortality at 6 months on ART
Characteristics Univariate Multivariate HR 95% CI p-value AHR Age (months),<1month reference 1-2 months 1.45 0.320 0.71 0.561 2-3 months 1.57 0.183 0.65 0.478 WHO stage 1 or 2 Stage 3 or 4 1.99 0.020 0.92 0.839 Absolute CD4 0.99 0.051 0.219 WAZ ≤ -2 > -2 0.39 0.002 0.50 0.072 ART initiation period 0.001 0.62 0.217 >2013 0.46 0.005 0.67 0.422 .

8 Result synthesis and conclusion
Children are starting ART earlier Less advanced disease Declines in mortality after adjustment, time period not associated with mortality baseline characteristics impacting more than period of initiation Mortality: Significant proportion of children still start ART with advanced disease ≃ 40% Recent mortality estimates unacceptably high  ≃ 5% Loss to follow-up: Remains high overall ≃ 14% `No follow-up on ART was particularly high; group requires further research to improve infant retention Innovative approaches are required to ensure HIV-infected infants in routine care settings achieve optimal treatment outcomes


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