1. What is the Outlook? Aggregation of IRPs and other planning docs.
A consensus regional perspective.
Can be read/downloaded at:

2. Recent Gas Demand

3. Demand Composition

4. 2014 Outlook Forecast

5. Residential Demand

6. 1st Year By Outlook Year

7. Demand Scenarios

8. T-South to Huntingdon Firm AOS InterrupLble 200 400 600 800 1,000
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Daily Volumes MMcf/d
Jan 24
Feb
4-­‐10
Dec 5-­‐20
Design Capacity 1702 MMcfd
High Flow Periods Daily Avg. (MMcf/d)
December 5-20 January 24 February 4-10
1724
1711
1675
Firm
AOS
InterrupLble
Gas delivered to Huntingdon supplies:
•  FortisBC Vancouver & Vanc Island
•  Northwest Pipeline
•  Ferndale & Cascade Pipelines and Sumas Energy

9. NWP Kemmerer North Historical Peak Day Scheduled Scheduled Dekatherms
500,000
1,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
Scheduled Dekatherms
Historical Peak Day Scheduled

10. Capacity limits on Westcoast coincides with price spikes
Fundamentals $0 $5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5
Normal HDD Portland HDD Sumas Price Stanfield Price Kingsgate Price 9
Sumas - $27
Stanfield - $24
Kingsgate - $15
Feb 6 Peak Prices
Prolonged Cold
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Mainline Flow Mainline Capacity Sumas Flow Sumas Capacity
$/Dth
Heating Degrees
Westcoast Flows - Mcfd
Capacity limits on Westcoast coincides with price spikes
Significant Cold

11. 2013-14 Takeaways > Capacity
–  Sufficient to meet existing requirements
–  Lots of gas being shipped IT on Spectra and GTN
–  Less flexibility due to high utilization on critical days
–  Northwest entitled its system for 11 days
–  Spectra hit capacity limits twice
–  Constraints can cause price escalation
>  Storage Capacity
–  Customers relied heavily on storage during cold weather
–  High value asset