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CH 12 Managing Capacity and Demand

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1 CH 12 Managing Capacity and Demand

2 Strategies for Matching Supply and Demand for Services
Partitioning demand Developing complementary services Establishing price incentives reservation systems Promoting off-peak Yield management SUPPLY Cross- training employees Increasing customer participation Sharing capacity Scheduling work shifts Creating adjustable Using part-time

3 Segmenting Demand at a Health Clinic
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 1 2 3 4 5 Day of week Percentage of average daily physician visits Smoothing Demand by Appointment Scheduling Day Appointments Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

4 Discriminatory Pricing for Camping
Experience No. of Daily type Days and weeks of camping season days fee Saturdays and Sundays of weeks 10 to 15, plus $6.00 Dominion Day and civic holidays Saturdays and Sundays of weeks 3 to 9 and 15 to 19, plus Victoria Day Fridays of weeks 3 to 15, plus all other days of weeks 9 to 15 that are not in experience type 1 or 2 Rest of camping season free EXISTING REVENUE VS PROJECTED REVENUE FROM DISCRIMINATORY PRICING Existing flat fee of $ Discriminatory fee Experience Campsites Campsites type occupied Revenue occupied (est.) Revenue $14, , $30,000 , , , ,250 , , , , , … …. Total , $ 64, , $59,000

5 Hotel Overbooking Loss Table
Number of Reservations Overbooked No Prob- shows ability Expected loss, $

6 LP Model for Weekly Workshift Schedule with Two Days-off Constraint
Schedule matrix, x = day off Operator Su M Tu W Th F Sa x x … … … … … x x … … … … … x x … … … … x x … … … … … … … x x … … … … … x x … … … … … x x … x … … … … … x Total Required Excess

7 Scheduling Part-time Bank Tellers
Decreasing part-time teller demand histogram Tellers required Mon. Tues Wed. Thurs. Fri. Two Full-time Tellers 5 4 1 3 2 Fri Mon Wed Thurs Tues. Tellers required DAILY PART-TIME WORK SCHEDULE, X=workday Teller Mon Tues Wed Thurs Fri. x … x … x x … … x x 3, x … … … x … … x … x

8 Ideal Characteristics for Yield Management
Relatively Fixed Capacity Ability to Segment Markets Perishable Inventory Product Sold in Advance Fluctuating Demand Low Marginal Sales Cost and High Capacity Change Cost

9 Seasonal Allocation of Rooms by Service Class for Resort Hotel
First class Standard Budget 20% 20% 20% 30% 50% 30% 50% 60% Percentage of capacity allocated to different service classes 50% 30% 30% 10% Peak Shoulder Off-peak Shoulder (30%) (20%) (40%) (10%) Summer Fall Winter Spring Percentage of capacity allocated to different seasons

10 Surfside Hotel No-Show Experience
Probability Reservations Overbooked Cumulative d P(d) x P(d〈 x) 0.07 0.00 1 0.19 2 0.22 0.26 3 0.16 0.48 4 0.12 0.64 5 0.10 0.76 6 0.86 7 0.04 0.93 8 0.02 0.97 9 0.01 0.99 Opportunity loss of no-show : $ 40 Overbooking loss of guest “walked” : $ 100 The expected number of no-show is calculated as 0*(0.07) + 1*(0.19) + 2*(0.22) + … + 8*(0.02) + 9*(0.01) = 3.04 Expected opportunity loss per day = 3.04 x $ 40 = $

11 E (revenue of next booking) ≥ E (cost of next booking)
Marginal Cost Approach E (revenue of next booking) ≥ E (cost of next booking) Revenue of filling a room ⅹ Probability of more no-shows than overbooked rooms ≥ Cost of dissatisfied customer ⅹ Probability of fewer of the same number of no- Shows than overbooked rooms Cu ⅹ P (Overbookings < No-shows) ≥ Co ⅹ P (Overbookings ≥ No-shows) Cu ⅹ P( x < d ) ≥ Co ⅹ P( x ≥ d ) Cu ⅹ {1 - P( x > d )} ≥ Co ⅹ P( x > d ) Cu ⅹ P( x > d ) + P( x > d ) ≤ Cu P( x > d ) ≤ o Cu Co + Cu Where Cu = the $40 room contribution that is lost when a reservation is not honored (i.e., the number of no-shows is underestimated) Co = the $100 opportunity loss associated with not having a room available for an overbooked guest (i.e., the number of no-shows is overestimated) d = the number of no-shows based on past experience x = the number of rooms overbooked $40 $40 + $100 P( x >d ) ≤ ≤ 0.286


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