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2011 Census results for Edinburgh some insights into demographic, social and economic change CEC Planning Information, Services for Communities, January.

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Presentation on theme: "2011 Census results for Edinburgh some insights into demographic, social and economic change CEC Planning Information, Services for Communities, January."— Presentation transcript:

1 2011 Census results for Edinburgh some insights into demographic, social and economic change CEC Planning Information, Services for Communities, January 2014

2 Scope  Census data release – progress to date and Council analysis  Edinburgh – distinctive characteristics  Key changes since 2001 – size, characteristics and distribution of population  Focus on demographic trends – age profile  Divergence between Census and Mid Year Population Estimates C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

3 Census data release programme  ‘Univariate’ data : straight counts e.g. age groups, household types, ethnic groups, industry, occupation, car ownership  ‘Cross-tabulated’ data e.g. economic activity by ethnic group health by tenure  Origin / destination data commuting flows; house moves C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S published for all geographies spring 2014 late 2014

4 Summary of Council analysis (1) Currently published :  Population, households and age structure (overview)  Population distribution and density (Edin. / Scotland / UK)  City Comparisons (Edinburgh compared with other UK cities)  City Trends (Historical context – change since prev. censuses)  Local Area Profiles : (1) wards (2) NPAs (3) community councils  Thematic Reports : (1) health (2) ethnicity (3) transport & travel C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S http://www.edinburgh.gov.uk/info/696/census_information/1318/census_2011/2

5 Summary of Council analysis (2) Future intentions :  Census atlas (distribution / concentration of different ‘client’ groups / needs / market sectors)  Additional thematic reports, e.g. students; housing; household formation / types; economic activity  Travel-to-work analysis (volume of commuting / mode of travel) C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S http://www.edinburgh.gov.uk/info/696/census_information/1318/census_2011/2

6 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

7 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Age profiles : comparative population pyramids, 2011 EdinburghScotlandGlasgow East LothianMidlothianWest Lothian

8 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

9 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

10 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

11 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

12 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

13 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

14 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified  Relatively healthy C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

15 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

16 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified  Relatively healthy  High proportion of households in flats / tenements C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

17 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

18 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified  Relatively healthy  High proportion of households in flats / tenements  Compact city with high population density  Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

19 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

20 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified  Relatively healthy  High proportion of households in flats / tenements  Compact city with high population density  Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling  High employment rate – esp. full-time work C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

21 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

22 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified  Relatively healthy  High proportion of households in flats / tenements  Compact city with high population density  Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling  High employment rate – esp. full-time work  High dependence on services; little manufacturing C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

23 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

24 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

25 What is distinctive about Edinburgh ?  Young working age adults  Small households  Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries)  Well educated / qualified  Relatively healthy  High proportion of households in flats / tenements  Compact city with high population density  Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling  High employment rate – esp. full-time work  High dependence on services; little manufacturing  Large professional population C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

26 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities

27 Key changes since 2001  Total population and households  Population distribution  Other characteristics  Changing age profile C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

28 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by population change 2001-2011

29 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011

30 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

31 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

32 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

33 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

34 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

35 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

36 Edinburgh’s changing age profile  Overall comparison with Scotland  Comparison of selected age groups with other Scottish local authorities C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

37 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

38 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

39 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 0 to 4

40 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 25 to 29

41 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 30 to 34

42 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 65 to 79

43 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 80 plus

44 Divergence between the Census and Mid Year Population Estimates (MYPEs) C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

45 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

46 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of Census with Mid Year Population Estimates, 2011, by age group

47 C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S

48 2011 Census results for Edinburgh implications of results for Council’s financial planning

49 Implications of results for Council’s financial planning C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S  Key expenditure drivers  Existing demographic-related provision within LTFP  Role of early intervention and prevention  Review of existing assumptions – planned work  Implications for 2015/16 onwards – Council Tax, NDR and Government Grant


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