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Mexico and the Super Peso A Tale of Two Surprises Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University Mexico Group.

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Presentation on theme: "Mexico and the Super Peso A Tale of Two Surprises Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University Mexico Group."— Presentation transcript:

1 Mexico and the Super Peso A Tale of Two Surprises Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University Mexico Group

2 The events of 2001 and 2002 Economic weakness in U.S. Mexican government gridlock Mexico – U.S. relationship Crisis in Argentina

3 Mexico’s Reaction ¿Peso’s debacle?

4 Exchange Rate Pesos per U.S. Dollar Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

5 Exchange Rate Pesos per U.S. Dollar Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

6 Mexico’s Reaction Peso’s debacle? Capital flight?

7 Foreign Direct Investment Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

8 Mexico’s Reaction Peso’s debacle? Capital flight? Economic crisis?

9 Real GDP % Change Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

10 Mexico’s Reaction Peso’s debacle? Capital flight? Economic crisis? Fiscal crisis?

11 Government Balance Balance / GDP Source: SHCP www.shcp.gob.mx

12 Mexico’s Reaction Peso’s debacle? Capital flight? Economic crisis? Fiscal crisis? Inflationary spiral?

13 Inflation Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

14 Risks and Challenges Super Peso

15 Inflation Differential vs. Exchange Rate Inflation Exchange Rate 298 203 Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

16 Merchandise Trade Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

17 Why Super Peso? Foreign Investment Family Remittances

18 Family Remittances Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

19 Super Heroes

20 Risks and Challenges Super Peso U.S. economy Mexican Politics Income Inequality and Poverty

21 A Tale of Two Surprises? Economic stability is not a surprise Super Peso June 17 th, 2002

22 Source: Proceso, June 23, 2002 Pg. 41

23 Mexico and the Super Peso A Tale of Two Surprises Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University Mexico Group

24 Mexico and the Super Peso A Tale of Two Surprises Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University Mexico Group www.trinity.edu/jgonzal1


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