1. Seventh Plan Update RETAC September 23, 2014 1

2. Final Plan Update Review of Past Program Results Emerging Tech & New Measures Finance, Admin Cost, Line Loss & Global Economic inputs EE Ramp Rates, Achievability & Deployment Parameters Draft Supply Curves to RPM Seventh Plan Draft Timeline Review 2010-11 Detailed Program Results Market trends, stock turnover, frozen efficiency inputs Impact of Federal Standards & State Codes Draft Action Plan for EE Q2 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 Q2 Measure Development: Cost & Savings &Shape Draft Plan RPM Decision Rules for EE Deployment Updated September 2014 2

3. Key Changes from Sixth Plan  New Federal Standards  Stock Assessments  Residential (+Metering)  Commercial  Industrial  Updated RTF unit energy savings  New/dropped measures  Tina & Kevin joined Council staff

4. Now: Analyzing Measure Cost & Savings  Update baselines  Data from stock assessments (RBSA, IFSA,CBSA)  Federal standards & state codes & standards  Update costs & savings & shape  Updating stock and flow models (#units/year)  Adding new measures  New markets  New applications  Overlooked items  New technology 4

5. What Emerging Tech Can Be Included in Power Plan?  The standard from the Power Act: Energy Efficiency resources must be “… similarly available and reliable” as the generation resources in the plan  How do we interpret and implement?  Product or practice is available, safe, persistent and acceptable to end users 5

6. New Measure Approach  Sources considered:  BPA E3T, NEEA scans, CA ET, Recent CPAs, ACEEE, ESource, CEE, Utility Programs, Tips, National Labs, more  Condensed lists  Prioritized  First cut at baseline, savings, cost, applicability  Check key input data availability  Can’t do them all, so triage 6

7. Observation 7 Emerging Tech Definitions Vary  Some truly new technology  Many emerging program approaches  Many emerging applications of existing technology  Creative naming abounds  Many names for the same technology/approach/savings target  Makes for long lists to sort through (CEE Famework Helps)

8. New Measures & Emerging Tech 8

9. But First … Who are these people? Electric Light Luminaries

10. New Measures: Lighting 10  Solid State Lighting  Vast expansion of options compared to 6P  All form factors now in play, most applications  Forecast cost & efficacy improvements to 2017  Market uptake significant  How much market uptake outside programs?  Lighting Controls  Luminaire level, self-commissioning, smart  Applies to all sectors

11. Latest DOE Forecast for SSL 11

12. New Measures: Residential 12 1.Variable-capacity heat pumps 2.Heat pump dryers 3.Faucet aerators 4.Advanced power strips 5.Lighting controls 6.DHP with ducted baseline 7.Water heater pipe insulation 8.Combo DHP/HPWH 9.Behavioral 10.Home automation 11.WiFi thermostats 12.VSDs for well pumps

13. New Measures: Agriculture  Advanced SIS practices  Stock watering tank*  Motor rewind*  Water heaters  High volume, low speed fans  Storage shed ventilation fan VFD*  Compressed air improvements *RTF UES measures

14. New Measures: Commercial New Technology or Practice 1.Strategic Energy Management in Commercial 2.Integrated Circulating Pump ECM & Drive 3.Glazing: Secondary Window, Dynamic Windows 4.Water Cooler Controls 5.Block Heater Controls for Engine Generator Sets 6.AC Heat Recovery for Water Heating 7.Web-enabled t-stats 8.Variable Capacity Heat Pump and VRF* 9.CO2 Heat Pump* * Fuzzy

15. New Measures: Commercial New or Expanded Applications 1.Data Centers: Embedded & Dedicated 2.Compressed Air Systems 3.Chiller retrofits 4.Advanced Roof Top HVAC 5.Evaporative Assist Roof Top HVAC 6.HPWH, Showerhead, gravity flow heat exchanger 7.Water Cooler Controls 8.Switch Reluctance Motors, Motor Rewind 9.Clothes Washers, Freezers, Refrigerators (from RTF) 10.School Weatherization (from RTF) 11.Smart Plug Strips 12.Demand Control Ventilation for Garages 13.Pool Pumps

16. New Measures: Industrial 1.Switched Reluctance Motors 2.Microwave Sterilization & Pasteurization Technologies 3.Efficiency Power Supplies 4.Integrated Motor/Pump/Drive or Fan/Pump/Drive 5.CO2 Heat Pumps

17. What Did We Miss? 17