1. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 Cost Projections for High Temperature Superconductors Paul M. Grant & Thomas P. Sheahen Applied Superconductivity Conference Palm Desert, California 13-18 September 1998 1

2. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 3/98 DOE Handout 10 100 1 1,000 10,000 $/kA×m 2

3. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 “The SokPlot” 3

4. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 Assumptions/Costs –Tape Area: 3 mm 2 –30% HTSC Fill Factor –I C = 200 A –Ag Cost = $0.161/gm ($5.00/troy oz); Ag C/P = $16.88/kA×m –BSCCO Cost = $0.86/cc; BSCCO C/P = $4.28/kA×m –L&O Cost = $3.00/m; L&O C/P = $15.00/kA×m Overall “Laboratory” C/P ~ $27/kA×m ! BSCCO OPIT/Ag : C/P; Materials + L&O 4

5. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 Warren Buffet Effect Month 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 $/troy oz 8/979/9710/9711/9712/971/982/983/984/98 May ‘98 Silver Futures ----------- Past 8 Months www.silverinstitute.org 5

6. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 J C Paths in BSCCO OPIT/Ag (UW-ASC) Polarized Micrograph Magneto-Optic Image J C Paths @ 12 K > 3.6   10 5 5 A/cm 2 2 > 2.6   10 5 5 A/cm 2 2 > 1.6   10 5 5 A/cm 2 2 > 0 = 0 A/cm 2 2 www.engr.wisc.edu/centers/asc/moi.html 6

7. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 As Good As It Gets 7

8. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 Derating Factors: C/P Multipliers (ASC) 1.0  0.1 µV/cm @ 77 K1.2 Ag Treatment1.5 0.1 T Field1.8 1.15 (B  ab) 1 km Length3.0 1.05 ac Operation2.5 Profit (???)1.3 Accumulated Multiplier 31.6 ! 7.1 8

9. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 The Future of BSCCO/OPIT Derated C/P for BSCCO/OPIT 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 1990199520002005201020152020202520302035 Year C/P ($/kA x m) $10/kA  m  1998 ASC J C $10.30/kA  m 9

10. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 Generation II Coated Conductors 10

11. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 Wire C/P Market Entry Thresholds Time C/P ($/kA×m) Substation Elimination SMES/FCL/Transformers 70% New UG Cables 11

12. ASC 98 Poster P. M. Grant & T. P. Sheahen Monday, 14 September 1998 A Spec Sheet for HTS Wire! What’s Needed? A Spec Sheet for HTS Wire! V = f(I,T,B, , ,A,l, ,  ), whereV = voltage drop per unit length, I = current, T = temperature, B = magnetic field,  = crystallographic orientation,  = frequency, A = cross-sectional area, l = wire length,  = stress,  = strain. C/P  $/I×l = g (V,T,B, , ,A,l, ,  ). 12