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1 06/06 e Global HIV epidemic, 1990 ‒ 2005*HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa, 1985 ‒ 2005* Number of people living with HIV % HIV prevalence, adult (15-49)

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Presentation on theme: "1 06/06 e Global HIV epidemic, 1990 ‒ 2005*HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa, 1985 ‒ 2005* Number of people living with HIV % HIV prevalence, adult (15-49)"— Presentation transcript:

1 1 06/06 e Global HIV epidemic, 1990 ‒ 2005*HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa, 1985 ‒ 2005* Number of people living with HIV % HIV prevalence, adult (15-49) % HIV prevalence, adult (15 ‒ 49) Number of people living with HIV (millions) 0 10 20 30 40 50 1990199520002005 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 19851990199520002005 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 12.5 15.0 % HIV prevalence, adult (15 ‒ 49) Number of people living with HIV (millions) Estimated number of people living with HIV and adult HIV prevalence This bar indicates the range around the estimate *Even though the HIV prevalence rates have stabilized in sub-Saharan Africa, the actual number of people infected continues to grow Because of population growth. Applying the same prevalence rate to a growing population will result in increasing numbers of people living with HIV 10.0

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3 3 A global view of HIV infection 38.6 million people [33.4 ‒ 46.0 million] living with HIV, 2005

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5 5 50% coverage (3 million people on treatment) 21 countries achieved this Global target not achieved Percentage of people with advanced HIV infection receiving antiretroviral therapy**** 9% (Country range: 1% ‒ 59% coverage), (n=41) Percentage of youth aged 15 ‒ 24 who correctly identify ways of preventing HIV transmission and who reject major misconceptions about HIV transmission** US$ 7.0 billion ‒ US$ 10.0 billion Global target achieved US$ 8 297 000 000 Estimated range: US$ 7.5 billion ‒ US$ 8.5 billion MALE: 33% (Country range: 7% ‒ 50% coverage), (n=16) FEMALE: 20% (Country range: 8% ‒ 44% coverage), (n=17) Total annual expenditure* Percentage of HIV-positive pregnant women receiving antiretroviral prophylaxis*** 2005 Country progress towards 2001 Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS—Global targets (low- and middle-income countries) [First of 2 slides] 90% coverage No country achieved this 80% coverage No country achieved this 20% (Country range: 1% ‒ 100% coverage), (n=116) 1 300 000 people on treatment GLOBAL RESULTS 2005GLOBAL TARGETS 2005 * See ‘Financing’ chapter ** Demographic and Health Survey/AIDS Indicator Survey, 2001 ‒ 2005 (MEASURE DHS, 2006) *** Stover et al. (2006) **** “3 by 5” Report (WHO/UNAIDS, 2006)

6 6 06/06 e 2005 Country progress towards 2001 Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS — Global targets (low- and middle-income countries) [Last of 2 slides] GLOBAL RESULTS 2005GLOBAL TARGETS 2005 26% of infants born to HIV-infected mothers were also infected (n=33 most affected countries) In 2001, approximately 30% of infants were infected. There has been an estimated 10% reduction in HIV transmission between 2001 and 2005. Estimated percentage of infants born to HIV-infected mothers who are infected in 2005****** 20% reduction 11 of the most affected countries achieved this 25% reduction in most affected countries 6 of the most affected countries achieved this MALES: 1.4% (Measure of uncertainty: 1.1% ‒ 1.8%), (n=54) FEMALES: 3.8% (Measure of uncertainty: 3.0% ‒ 4.7%), (n=54) No comparable global data on this age cohort is available from 2001. Progress towards target can only be measured in individual countries. Percentage of young males and females, aged 15 ‒ 24, who are HIV infected***** ***** UNAIDS/WHO 2005 Estimates for countries with generalized epidemics ****** UNAIDS/WHO 2005 Estimates

7 7 06/06 e Coverage of antiretroviral therapy Access to mother-to-child prevention services (all pregnant women) Coverage of HIV-infected mothers who received antiretroviral prophylaxis Comparison of 2003 and 2005 data on the coverage of antiretroviral therapy, access to mother-to-child prevention services and coverage of HIV-infected mothers who received antiretroviral prophylaxis to prevent mother-to-child transmission 7.0 20.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 20032005 % 7.6 9.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 20032005 % 3.3 9.2 0 5 10 15 20 25 20032005 % Sources: WHO/UNAIDS (2006). Progress on global access to HIV antiretroviral therapy: a report on “3 by 5” and beyond; USAID et al. (2006). Coverage of selected services for HIV/AIDS prevention, care and support in low and middle income countries in 2003 and 2005.

8 8 06/06 e Percentage of young people aged 15 ‒ 24 reporting the use of a condom during sexual intercourse with a non-regular partner, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2001 ‒ 2005 Male Female Countries with date of survey indicated 1000102030405060708090 % Benin 2001 Botswana 2001 Burkina Faso 2003 Cameroon 2004 Chad 2004 Ghana 2003 Guinea 2005 Kenya 2003 Lesotho 2004 Madagascar 2003 Malawi 2004 Mali 2001 Mozambique 2003 Nigeria 2003 Rwanda 2004 Senegal 2005 United Republic of Tanzania 2003 Uganda 2004 Zambia 2003 Sources: Demographic Health Surveys; HIV/AIDS Indicator Surveys (2001-2005)

9 9 06/06 e Estimated total annual resources available for AIDS, 1996 ‒ 2005 292 1623 8297* 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 1996199719981999200020012002200320042005 US$ million Signing of Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS Data include: International donors, domestic spending (including public spending and out-of-pocket expenditures) International Foundations and Global Fund included from 2003 onwards, PEPFAR included from 2004 onwards * Projections based on previous pledges and commitments (range of the estimation: US$7.5 to US$8.5 billion).

10 10 06/06 e AIDS funding requirements for low- and middle-income countries Prevention 8.410.011.429.8 Care and treatment 3.04.05.312.3 Support for orphans and vulnerable children 1.62.12.76.4 Programme costs 1.51.41.84.6 Human resources 0.40.60.91.9 TOTAL14.922.155.118.1 20062007 2006 ‒ 2008 US$ billion Source: UNAIDS (2005). Resource needs for an expanded response to AIDS in low- and middle-income countries.

11 11 06/06 e Distribution by region of the funding required for prevention Latin America/Caribbean: 9% Eastern Europe: 12% North Africa/Middle East: 3% Africa: 29% South/South-East Asia: 21% East Asia/Pacific: 26% Source: UNAIDS (2005). Resource needs for an expanded response to AIDS in low- and middle-income countries.

12 12 06/06 e Distribution by region of the funding required for treatment and care Latin America/Caribbean: 17% Eastern Europe: 7% North Africa/Middle East: 1% Africa: 55% South/South-East Asia: 4% East Asia/Pacific: 16% Source: UNAIDS (2005). Resource needs for an expanded response to AIDS in low- and middle-income countries.


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