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A Think Tank for Forward Looking Assessment A Basis for Discussion © AccesscodeHFM
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Content 2 Context Objective Process Products
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Context 3 Drastic change 80 % reduction is equivalent to 5 % p.a. until 2050! risks and uncertainties model improvement and new approach Social context participation is essential for implementation Global problems – local policy linking the regional scales will be crucial
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This Paper 4 Context EIONET WS in Prague / EEA invitation Since then, a lot of activities by EEA, Modeller Community, Member States „Long-term Pathways Project“ at Umweltbundesamt Take part at „Europe Vision 2050“ (EPA) How could EIONET/NRC best add value?
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Think Tank Objective 5 (1) NRC perspective: Commenting on scenarios for forward looking assessments „Open to all issues“ Long-/ medium term questions/ideas for sustainable development Upcoming macrotrends / regional trends Emerging markets/technologies Social innovations, inspirations and visions (2) Methodological Advice on targets and approaches „Modell independent“ Wildcards, uncertainties, shocks, risks Resilience/rebound effects
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Think Tank Process 6 Small group – two meetings a year (creative workshops) Use software tools only for simple assessments (crucial/non-crucial) Follow a well defined Work Flow Sensing : generate ideas; New trends, anticipated risks Organizing : selected and prioritized work issues Investigation : Analyze effect of working issues Reporting : standard publication format “terms of future” papers A well defined organizational structure Part of NRC Chair in rotation Funding?
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Think Tank Products 7 Network: ad-hoc advice/feedback New format for the publication of ideas and assessments Specified input to EEA work/products [General Guidelines] [Research need on methods and instruments]
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Contact DI Manfred Ritter Head of Unit Emissions & Climat Change Environment Agency Austria manfred.ritter@umweltbundesamt.at 8 Umweltbundesamt www.umweltbundesamt.atVienna ■ 9. September
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